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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 29, 2016It is not about hiking rate anymore. Investment banking collapse is all about domino effects. DAX down 350 points from yesterday high, DOW 370 points from high, FTSE 100 points, Nikkei almost 400 points, so it is not only EURO. I remember during ...
The Deutsche Bank crisis: How we got here, and where we are
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 29, 2016Sometime I did asked myself, is the market really manipulated? Or whether it is really predictable before melt down? It just seems like putting up some stories just for the market to go back where it is suitable to consider as healthy price. No ...
The Deutsche Bank crisis: How we got here, and where we are
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 21, 2016Kuroda mentoring her. Blah blah blah. Talk talk talk without action. Trump win the election and sack her immediately.
FOMC Press Conference, September 21, 2016
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 21, 2016Come on boy. Do you know how to calculate reward ratio? Look at those equities, does it goes up even no hike? No harm even no hike, it is a stage for December thought. I am quite happy with the results but if a surprise hike, I can happy for at ...
Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged, Signals 2016 Hike Still Likely
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 21, 2016What a sick decision. Waste my time waiting whole night.
Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged, Signals 2016 Hike Still Likely
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 21, 2016Anything can happen and I still believe a surprise today to punish all those who expect they won't hike this month. Most currencies futures premium are 50% expensive between contract. For instance, Offshore Yuan are 350 pips higher than the usual at ...
Fed expected to keep rates unchanged, may signal year-end hike
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 21, 2016Probably some might see as a trick but to me, you must have economy backing for a rate hike. Previous couple meeting, I really don't see any hike opportunity and I am laughing as well when Yellen mentioning 4 hike this year. I believe they can't ...
Fed expected to keep rates unchanged, may signal year-end hike
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 21, 2016Why must USD go down if no rate hike? 80% already expect it won't hike, so no hike will not move the market a lot but a rate hike will be beyond expectation.
Fed expected to keep rates unchanged, may signal year-end hike
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 21, 2016That's what I expect. If no rate hike, then on conference Yellen will push it up on expectation. BOJ really unexpected. I already expect they won't cut, but didn't expect introducing QQE.
Fed expected to keep rates unchanged, may signal year-end hike
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 21, 2016BOJ introducing QQE policies to control yield curves.
BOJ announcement: To abandon monetary base target
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 20, 2016Let's take another look. Have you ever seen FED hike rates after election. As I know only cut rates. So why should December?
Yen moves higher
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 20, 2016See, who say it will further cut? Bloomberg and media? BOJ absolutely have the rooms to wait for tonight FED.
Yen moves higher
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 20, 20162000 Bush, dot com Bubble. 2008 Obama, CDOs Bubble. So shall we believe 2016 Hilary/Trump xxxx Bubble? Who told you never ever? You know how high the interest rates on 2000 or 2008 before bubble? 25 basis point easily for FED and it is time to do so. ...
Yen moves higher
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 20, 2016Yes, we can never forecast accurately but at least probability rather than listening to those media. 1 month data won't close the door. And the most important are those data moderate but enough to hit the bar. Just like someone trading, they are not ...
Yen moves higher
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 20, 2016Why must December? Because Bloomberg and media or those rumors tell you the message? Just look at those premiums on currency futures. It is 50% more than usual. One of very good signs strong USD coming. Look at last 10 days sell off on Gold.
Yen moves higher
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 20, 2016Forget about it. They will not further cut because FED hikes tonight. Kuroda again going to say "We will monitor closely but further ease and cut if needed".
Yen moves higher
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 20, 2016A forecast of -0.20% another cut? BOJ have the room to sit and do nothing on this meeting. Kuroda can easily use the phrase "We will closely monitor but further easing and lower the rates more if needed". They can just wait for tonight FED decision ...
Asia stocks pull ahead, investors on edge before Bank of Japan verdict
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 16, 20169% rate hike on September some website forecasting? Come on FED, show them data dependent are not rely on 1 month figures.
Lively debate and 'hawkish hold' seen from Fed
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 13, 2016I am lazy to answer loser question usually. 7 Years ago I might be some kind of your mindset because I can't find a way. Market problem? Nope. I realize is my knowledge problem instead of those loser blaming around. Just like playing poker, some ...
August 2016 Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 11, 2016This is because expected hike are much more valuable than actual hike unless higher than expected.
A 'perfect storm' correction is coming, and nothing can stop it: Rosenberg