yes that is the theory behind sentiment analysis, however, although everything fundamentally and technically lines up, the question here is really....."when"

Fundamentally-The Euro Rally is Dead:

the timing charts are much more versatile. In essence, do you think knowing the weekly report produced by the CFTC will gauge next week's macro movement in day trading?

The COT report

yeah that's what I meant. NT, yes, I was trying to convey what you just did, and by that factor, for short term price movements say...a week, we should pay attention to the non-commercial report no? In that case, there are way more long contracts ...

Fundamentally-The Euro Rally is Dead:

EUR opened with a gap down to about 3178....so you think Trichet will raise rate again after he just did?

Fundamentally-The Euro Rally is Dead:

see, that's where the interesting part comes. The COT report has mainly 2 sections (the third is non-reportable-positions small enough for us to not really care) the sections are non-commercial and commercial. Non-commercials are the big boys, the ...

Fundamentally-The Euro Rally is Dead:

Technically speaking, the hour chart on the EUR does look like a top, it has been for the recents days and now I see some downward movement. Fundamentally speaking, yes, the US data has been good recently, and Trichet did hint cutting forecasts in ...

Fundamentally-The Euro Rally is Dead:

yep, CPI/PPI are among the top. Also, trade balance, hourly wage, is particular interesting right now

Interest rate increase and currency levels

yep, I can "feel" it already. If the fed cut rates, they will try to let the economy improve by letting business have a cheaper "cost of money" so they will begin to improve, and if they continue to, maybe they will raise rates later. Merlin, in ...

Interest rate increase and currency levels

ahhhh! The missing link. Economic data ----> Decision on Interest Rates ----> currency value.

Interest rate increase and currency levels

thanks for the response, however, if interests go up for that country, the exports will be affected as it costs more to buy the same product with higher interest rates, the nations business will be affected as the "cost of money" is higher now. So ...

Interest rate increase and currency levels