Is there any facts to back this up Hanover? what is the increased probability? - I'm yet to find any simple technical patterns that are any more effective than a 50/50 guess. If they we're 'high probability' we would have a high percentage of ...

How to correctly use Doji candlesticks to spot a reversal?

fine whilst you are winning, but before you know it, most likely after the first loss - you will be tweaking and adjusting and adding layers of complexity to try and remove those inevitable losers. But you have hit upon the approach that over time ...

Why not just open the trade and check back every few days

oh of course, everyones an idiot except you.... now I wonder what the trading psychologists would say about that mindset.

Why is hedging not discussed as much?

funny how people claim that these forums are just frequented by idiots, and then they frequent them.... there is some irony there no?

Why is hedging not discussed as much?

I spent way too much time arguing that this wouldn't work and that wouldn't work - eventually I realized everything can work, if you know how to make it work. When you approach the market as something that can not be quantified or controlled, I ...

Looking for Real Trading Method

again we have someone who believes their way is the only way - read market wizards, look at the extreme differences in the approach of truly profitable traders. As for your statement about drawdown, again totally untrue. On of the most successful ...

Looking for Real Trading Method

there is clearly two uses of the term... ask a US forex broker what he means by 'no hedging' - switch your brains on and stop thinking only your approach works, you're wrong and you should know it if you're half the trader you profess to be.

Hedging vs Stop Loss

clear, concise, obvious - great post

Hedging vs Stop Loss

I agree - it all comes back to this obsession of being able to quantify everything in what is essentially uncertain. Explains why the majority give far too much weight to technicals.

Hedging vs Stop Loss

I'm with you hollowhead - idiot retail traders are the ones who think intraday is the only way.... As we both know, perfectly acceptable to have legs open in both directions and often far more profitable...

Hedging vs Stop Loss

if you have been around the block like you said, you must yourself have known that the nature of your post would get this response. If you had explained something of your approach or at least something for people to ponder and study, then you may of ...

I believe I found the Market's "Tell"

Like I have stated many times, all patterns are an illusion if you are going to base future predictions off of them. Anything that has worked in the past has zero guarantee of working in the future regardless of past performance. That is my belief ...

Do you believe this market is random?

I think we need to know trade frequency also to calculate risk of ruin? but yeah win rate on it's own means absolutely nothing

I believe I found the Market's "Tell"

agree, and the op hasn't even tested it for 100 live trades yet.... but declares it a solid edge.... counting ones chickens before they have hatched I would guess

I believe I found the Market's "Tell"

you implied at the start you traded 'patterns' so you trade bubbles I presume? how do you define a bubble and how do you trade them then?

Do you believe this market is random?

see I said you couldnt give a single example of a 'pattern' and I was right.

Do you believe this market is random?

like I said, you believe in something you can not give a clear example of - so what is it you're believing in? and you say I can't see it..."something hard to put your finger on" - so your trading is based on something you can not even explain? is ...

Do you believe this market is random?

this discussion is not chaotic it is random

Do you believe this market is random?

oh please stop with this bull..."theres something deeper there" you're believing an illusion to allow you to trade.... ok, here's your chance, give me this pattern, deep or otherwise that you have found and that I "haven't found yet" - any one, and ...

Do you believe this market is random?

Nearly all these 'patterns' people use are just 50/50 guesses with some random distribution of wins and losses, they then find other patterns to explain why their first pattern failed. The only time a pattern has an edge is if it backed by the ...

Do you believe this market is random?