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johncen replied Aug 13, 2025usdx hit 97.7! Have been watching this level for long time! Let see if we get some reaction here! also closing some long here
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johncen replied Aug 13, 2025Bull is strong, we didnt get a retrace before climbing up 1.17.
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johncen replied Aug 12, 2025Bull benefits from cpi and Trump usdx didnt hold 98.40-50 but still above 98. i guess it has chance of going to 97.70 (eu has 1710-1730 next)
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johncen replied Aug 12, 2025well i will b surprised if no tweet from Trump. but it does put bear at risk. I will come back to check daily close.
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johncen replied Aug 12, 2025yea overall meeting expectation so the spike is still under trendline. unless bull break above later core cpi higher. rate cut in Sep seems promising but inflation is certainly a concern. at least we are not getting a spike like the nfp no breakout ...
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johncen replied Aug 12, 2025cpi in about two hours, might not see lower low or pa above 162x before that
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johncen replied Aug 12, 2025Yea it didnt move much though, i guess we might try 1590 again or even 157x ok pa going sideways, lets wait for cpi
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johncen replied Aug 12, 2025yup lets focus on tonight! I have tried a small long from 1.1611 and just stopped out @ be!
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johncen replied Aug 12, 2025yea i cant think of anything that can help to land me at my target for now but who knows.
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johncen replied Aug 12, 2025no cut this year is possibly unlikely haha Trump will threaten to fire Powell so will limited any bearish move. I am expecting hawkish tone after a potential cut
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johncen replied Aug 12, 2025pa still very choppy now so i dnt have any confirmation at this stage… but let see. maybe not now but later in the year
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johncen replied Aug 12, 2025haha i guess market will probably ignore that or very limited movement! yea neutural cpi is also possible, just as expected. i still expecting EU to go further south to at least 1.12 once before deciding where to go. But i dont know when this will ...
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johncen replied Aug 12, 2025yea i expect consolidation before the news so bull will be supported i guess. if no cpi i would probably expect some further south with the current set up but with nfp in mind…. I m not sure if we will see another “manipulated” data…. better stay ...
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johncen replied Aug 12, 2025the thread gone very quiet today haha everyone waiting for cpi
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johncen replied Aug 11, 2025Bear did well yesterday but really pa is stuck in the middle waiting for cpi to determine direction. for now pa is consolidating below weekly pivot. Usdx closed above 98.40 and at 98.50 level which is good for eu bear / dollar bull. bear needs to ...
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