I thought about that many times, thanks for pointing out.But does it still make the market predictable ? Maybe many eliott analysts made good success that i know. But that does not prove that the market or atleast the distribution of candlestick is ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Agreed, i too think the market is inefficient, and it looks only efficient because the cash rolled in the market has no inflation calculated with it.If some guys take out cash from the market (gets into a bank deposit which is shielded from ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

There is no absolute certainty, i dont say it must do that always with 100% accuracy, but if it already did it 20 times it has a very very good chance of doing it again. But thats not a valid test yet i know, to confirm your hypothesis you have to ...

There is no Holy Grail

I`m think i know what he meant.Well nobody here "predicts" the future here as you think we do. You can suppose to predict the future from a glass ball or the mathematical way used by meteorologists to "predict" weather. And jmn5611 you confused it, ...

There is no Holy Grail

Yes i respect your approach, but i think that everything can be automated.The fact that it is more comfortable to you this way is ok , but as a human thinks and picks good trades a well programmed an sophisticated AI can do the same.That is why i ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Sorry i dont understant what you mean by that ? Can you please detail it.

There is no Holy Grail

Agreed, but since i`m a technical trader with a bias towards EA's, i`m curious wheather you could automatize your system, in which case you could make money 10x faster.I mean if looking at the main currencies : the majors and the crosses there are ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Thats impressive, if you have that potential you should maximize it, why to make only 200$ /day, you can make 2000 just as easy or 20000.Of course if you careully select the markets and trade only those in which you are confident then no, but if you ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Yes it is a random event, or lets say half random because it depends on your winrate in some cases.I would disagree with your about the risk can be known and reward too.If you preemptively put your SL and TP you no longer have a variable RR, and you ...

There is no Holy Grail

Well you can create money in more ways but i dont think its constant, money as such is is just the paper, but we are more talking about the worth of an object.You can create the paper with the mint, but you cant create the value by a mint.So the ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Not even that is true in my opinion.So by closed you mean that of the physics interpretation, a system which does not get any external manipulation. Law of energy conservation here would be law of market independency or something like that, but ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Oh really, sorry i was confused I forgot that the US shifted its industrial oriented economy to a service oriented economy after WW2.And yes they are lowering interest rates to simulate economic growth.In fact even after the 2007 problems they ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Ok i shall read it,thank you, but please dont mix the stock market with forex, their structure is entirely different.The stock market has a tendency to go up because of economic growth, the DJ is growing because the US economy is growing. If you'd ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Well first proof it that, if it would be totally random without the capability of prediction then nobody on earth could make money with it.And just looking at Goldman Sachs's or Senvest Partners LTD Hedge Fund's profit, that shows exactly the ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Why? There is no 100% winrate system.I think we can all agree on that, there will be always something unexpected which will put some losses even to the best system in the world. However a HG to me is just the most optimal system there is.In ...

There is no Holy Grail

Ok i wont waste my time more on this thread, i will unsubscribe, but before that here is my last proof to convince you.A scientific paper which examined the martingale betting system vs the constant betting system, and the constant was better. If ...

Does the martingale system really work?

OMG, people feed their family with a martingale system !!! That's just sad, i`m really sorry for that family.That guy who is feeding its family with martingale is a gambling addict nuts person.

Does the martingale system really work?

True but it is always a small amount + you get that back after the trade is done, so its really a trigger for higher levels. Plust just for the sake of simplicity lets assume it is a system without leverage, so it's a 1:1 system where you work with ...

Does the martingale system really work?

Ok Mikkk 1 more chance to prove yourself.It is interesting how you go around the problem and ignore a few key stuff here. I will program the software to simulate more than 1 session of martingale, so that means that after you rolled the first ...

Does the martingale system really work?

Does that matter ? I mean you get that cash back after you finished the "trade", thats just a "good faith sum", so it doesnt mess up the statistics.So as the leverage (since i dont simulate the margin call), that's why it is counted in $ , not in ...

Does the martingale system really work?