Ok i maybe formulated the things unclear. Let me clarify, my point was that past correlations influence the new data, because you just read the inneficiency from there.You got a trend, you know where it will head. If you just got into trading in ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Doesnt neccesary have to be like that.Take GOLD for example from 2001 to 2012 when its was very bullish. Big traders were buying the gold, but how could they buy it if nobody was selling it? There must not be equal amounts of traders to trade an ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Maybe you have a point there.But we still cannot know it for sure, i`m pretty confident that the market is efficient, in some periods , when an external influence is missing.That external influence is for example a news release, which causes a big ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Oh boy, you are now confusing 2 different termonologies. RANDOMNESS DOESNT EQUAL NON-PREDICTABILITY ITS ONLY EQUAL IF ITS A 50-50%, which is in most cases, the fact that you could predict the market just means that you hit the market when ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

The same worthless is your approach to point out S/R or S/D zones in the real market aswell, because those parts of the market are just as random as this.There is inneficiency where money can be made, but i`m sure they are not with this method. The ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Its certainly not market irrelevant, as PipMEUP and the_redlion did, we are diving into the randomness.And the funny thing is that the random numbers are the most accurate modeling that we discovered so far.If you believe you can model the market ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

OMG your ignorancy just hit a new high.First of all i was talking about url If you dont believe that random data can behave uniformly i suggest to learn basic statistics. Yes i do because i know that fundamentals are present in the market and are ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Its easy, get a microphone, put it somewhere where its quiet, let it record then cut off the large amplitude waves (mostly caused by human noise or the stuff in your house) from the sound file and then convert the remaining noise in the sound file ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Thats how it is, the price must be continuous so i use substracting and adding, but the direction is just a bunch of random 0 and 1, so its statistically independent, so the stuff you see "trend" there is just an unlikely event, caused many by ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Its no random number generator... Man the data was taken from here: url True random number generator from atmospheric noise.If you think thats not random, then what else can be. I can ensure you that all my data which i use is 1000000000% true ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

The data has a 0 expectancy because its random, no bias no nothing, due to the small sample size it may look like trend, and its very confusing, thats why look at a larger sample ... Anyway the new version is out maybe it was caused because of the ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

New version is ready,i tweaked it a little bit and fixed the bugs : True Random Candlestick Generator V2 image Changelog: fixed an array size bug removed HIGH and LOW initial data because they were useless (HIGH/LOW is calculated from the min ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Well then you didnt saw M1 data i guess, and not all of it is hole the hole size is random aswell, it can be no hole to the gap size what you want it to be.Its not depending on the generator but rather at the data. In the new version you can set the ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Its a fluke, because its random, if you look at the entire data you can see downtrends aswell randomly forming.But there is no trend in reality its only an illusion. But i made other mistake,check my previous post, by using only 1 random distance ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Maybe you are right but we should still investigate and look deep into all of them.I just noticed a huge mistake i made in the code , i used the same variable TICKSIZE for all distances.While it should have 4 separate true random variables: ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Because it doesnt have to be, not all new opens start at the previous close, there is always some minor delay or gap which disrupts the continuity.The market its just too discrete, if you think about it, the broker gets its feed from the liquidity ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Ok redlion you wish has come true i made a random candlestick generator.It was really easy to made but due to X-mas it took a while.So this is my X-mas present to you every FF member. I present you the new: True Random Candlestick Generator ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

I disagree. What do you mean by RR rule? And "gurus" ? Seriously... A higher reward than risk will result in a positive expectancy more likely than a lower one (but only if you already have an edge).It is a mathematical fact. We just ...

The Smoke and Mirrors of the Risk/Reward Ratio

I agree with you 100%, thats my theory aswell. I could, just by taking a true random 0,1 sequence representing the uptick and the downtick and the distance between each tick will be a 3rd random number, where i can add a threshold value to represent ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

I didnt say that it will always work, as human nature is unpredictable, but the CB does everyting in their power to reach their goals.If they fail thats because the market has other plans for itself. Agreed, my system is working very well also.But i ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?