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johncen replied Sep 1, 2025seems like a breakout, if momemtum is strong we may break through all the roof today
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johncen replied Sep 1, 2025yup dont wanna rush into trades. Will wait for a clear breakout or wait for pull back
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johncen replied Sep 1, 2025i was hoping to see 1680 1667 first before potential up but seems no? yea 0.25% cut has been priced in and i was expecting more hawkish tone from Powell “one cut and see” but yea maket may think differently. french confidence vote coming as well. i ...
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johncen replied Aug 31, 2025as we dont see much movement back below 1700 makes me believe it might be 1789 1830 before any potential drop
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johncen replied Aug 31, 2025yup lets wait and see~ too early to do anything plus it is US holiday
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johncen replied Aug 31, 2025this move plus gold breaking the roof makes me wonder if we will be breaking out from the range but today is US holiday so i kinda doubt it
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johncen replied Aug 31, 2025yea us holiday should limit any potential big moves but gold is rocket high! my initial thought is we will continue to range. bull has to sustained above 1715
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johncen replied Aug 31, 2025it will have to go below 1665 if bear wants to take over. Otherwise bull may continue to go higher!
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johncen replied Aug 31, 2025eu opened almost flat but as we are unable to sub below 1680 its testing 1715 again! gold is breaking all the roof so not sure if we will see eu breaking out of the current range. usdx again testing major support 97.70. If we sustained below we are ...
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johncen replied Aug 30, 2025eu and most of other US alies are forced to sign trade deals that pays massive amount of tariff. Signing that trade deal is already a bad news to the Euro zone and has been ignored. anyways market rules, they may go up to 1.2 first but i doubt it. I ...
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johncen replied Aug 30, 2025that to me is the only possible we may see a drop in eu. Buy rumours sell fact. After rate cut market may realise fed rate is still 2% higher than Euro zone. EU is also in trouble facing a slowing economy, threats from Russia, shrink in ...
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johncen replied Aug 30, 2025i would consider a breakout if we stands above 1745 but COT still heavily short so maybe not. though the entire situation US is in deep shit, i can’t see much reasons favouring a strong dollar
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johncen replied Aug 30, 2025IG showing a gap up, but of course it is just Saturday recent weeks it is not very accrurate
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johncen replied Aug 30, 2025more law suits are going to hurt the dollars, tariffs plus Lisa Cook. Seems like a Sept cut is almost guaranteed as market is ignoring better US data which should boost up the dollars. The problem is do we see further up after the rate cut? June was ...
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johncen replied Aug 30, 2025dnt know what to expect in September, overall trend remain bullish for sure but August we have been playing within a range (between white lines). Set up does look like what happened back in May-Jun if we managed to break above key resistance level ...
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johncen replied Aug 29, 2025Doesnt look very good for bearif we dnt see a rejection here. have cancelled my buy stop at 1.1665 after the news thinking might be a quiet rest of the week but fun times i remain on sideline until next week/month
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johncen replied Aug 29, 2025we need to see a strong rejection by the bear maybe closing the current h and next h back below 1682 or 1667 better. Otherwise bear is likely to fail
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johncen replied Aug 29, 2025weekly looks ugly for bear too. They dont have much time left to avoid a long wick down below! my 1h
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johncen replied Aug 29, 2025bear is so dead. If no surprise likely to be a solid green candle on monthly tf and another doji with long tail on weekly tf. not good for bear
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johncen replied Aug 29, 2025looks like on track to close a very strong green candle on monthly tf image
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