Or when machines can decode our thoughts and display them on a screen ... it should be funny (or dangerous, or embarassing ...)

Technical Analysis Fallacy

Looks like grid trading. You may go broke many times in 13 years trading like that. Grid trading is easy to debunk: take any grid EA, run it in demo and enjoy the account blowing up.

Technical Analysis Fallacy

I know I may always be wrong, but I tried to "hedge" (or nedge, as some people call it) in the past, but don't do it anymore. Now I prefer to be with one trend, with low leverage. If the trend turns against me, I have to bite the bullet and start ...

Technical Analysis Fallacy

ok, that's why I say learning never ends.. thanks for the lesson, I'll try to grasp what I can (and stick with the smart ants?)..

Technical Analysis Fallacy

OK, I am curious about the hell notes. Don't know the answer. Ready to take the lesson, thanks.

Technical Analysis Fallacy

My English fails here, but I will take a chance (risking being ridiculous): in the fx market? (run to the hills!!! New lesson to be learned)

Technical Analysis Fallacy

I may be wrong, but I think there is a strong correlation between crowd behaviour and MM thinking (the second are in the game to take money from the first and they do it well).

Technical Analysis Fallacy

I believe the general answer is "Yes", though for the MM part it is very hard. I don't know if I am being naive, but I think we can always improve, even in the extremely hard game "Thinking like an MM". I am no authority at all. I am here to learn. ...

Technical Analysis Fallacy

Thank you fti for your reply!! Can we train ourselves to think like an MM (from the retail side, I mean)? Sorry if the question has already been answered in the thread. I don't want to disturb in any way. Thanks again.

Technical Analysis Fallacy

MM?!?

Technical Analysis Fallacy

Sounds like me when I was a believer in EA witches...

Technical Analysis Fallacy

Hi 7bit, I remember you said in another thread that it is not possible to rebuild true equity curve from MT4 history. I guess it is because MT4 does not record tick data, the smallest time frame kept in file is one minute. Correct me if I am wrong ...

Equity Recorder - record the performance in real time

Eighteen years, but I am a slow learner. I think I finally found the only way I want to do this thing but there is still work to be done. The way you put the question shows that you already know everybody has his/her own way. That is a good start. ...

How long should it take before I hit the jackpot

By "constant" I mean "present all the time", not constant figures. Then I tried to play with it. Very dangerous. I failed with a simplistic approach. Maybe it is possible - digging more deeply into the complexities - but I am not sure it is worth ...

Technical Analysis Fallacy

I see now EAs as tools. You may have an arsenal of them but you must know how they work and you decide when to turn them on and off according to your market view. I seriuosly doubt there will ever be a reliable and completely automated program that ...

Technical Analysis Fallacy

Fti, thanks for taking your time speaking again about your past experience with programming. I was burned by trying to play with volatility, a seemingly "constant" in the market. The idea: "to shift 1 the market goes 1000 up and down. So let's play ...

Technical Analysis Fallacy

fti, Thank you for your kind words. I feel very sorry for not being able to give anything back after all I acknowledge to have received from you and many others in this thread. I am just a poor, mediocre, snow learning, struggling wannabe ...

Technical Analysis Fallacy

Hi fti, The last words I heard from you were: "With humility in the heart the recovery has just begun". It was a long time ago. Maybe you have forgotten. I didn't, though I didn't believe at that time. I was too upset by the huge loss I had run into ...

Technical Analysis Fallacy

Thank you PipMeUp for the interesting links. The math involved in this criterion is very challenging. I changed focus a bit after I got my spreadsheet done. I am using it now just for post-trade risk control (checking if my risk exposure is correct, ...

Kelly Criterion - Optimizing risk

Better version — Here is a better (simplified) version of the spreadsheet. Got rid of some useless stuff.

Kelly Criterion - Optimizing risk