If only it were that simple, this thread probably wouldn't exist DS - congratulations fella. A big accomplishment.

Order Flow - Achieving the mindset

True, true. And if you prevent just one goose chase, that's a few hundred hours of someone's life you've saved. I personally hold Mark Douglas to account for a lot of that, but that's a different story.

The Foundations Of Trading Success

Sweet, but if we pull on the strings of illusory free will, we'll be knee deep in a world of microbial determinism, and I'm not sure FF can handle that Good point about stat-based systems, I guess I'd put those onto a very far back seat such a ...

The Foundations Of Trading Success

Hi Medici, nice post. But aren't you really saying be systematic - take every setup rather be discretionary? Without wishing to come off like a pedant, all trades are anticipatory in nature, in that you're trading in the expectation that either ...

The Foundations Of Trading Success

Woah there FXS, before you dismiss the lot... Paleo is exactly that - back to paleolithic eating which was no grains, no legumes, no vegetable oils but plenty of meat & veg. Caveman/woman style. Cordain has a book called the Paleo diet which is but ...

What's your way to keep fit, strong and healthy?

In a nutshell - eat paleo, exercise tabata, get some sunshine every day. I'm sure you can find 6 minutes a week to fit that into your schedule PS Just looked up Tormo's recommendations - spot on.

What's your way to keep fit, strong and healthy?

OK I'll bite... — If you were really going to break this down, the question should be do groups of orders exist at regular intervals that form visual trendlines. If so, is it tradeable. If not, why not? And if only on occasion, which ...

Trend Lines Don't Work

Great stuff — Adal, fascinating stuff thanks for the info. That sounds plausible (though probably not tradeable). Beman, people thought analysing social media to deduce sentiment was bonkers two years ago. While whether you got laid or not ...

weather affects market volatility

I haven't used FXCM's because it used to (still does?) polls twice daily - Oanda polls every hour and has a bigger client based for what it's worth. It is useful so long as you're interpretative with it. FXCM once had a fund that ran off SSI which ...

Trading SSI anyone?

This blows my tiny mind: "our results suggest that cloudiness and length of nighttime are inversely related to historical, implied and realized measures of volatility" ...I know correlation <> causation but if it did, what reasons would you have for ...

weather affects market volatility

True that. The chances of any given price in hour 1 being seen again in the subsequent next 23 hours are around 90% on EU if I remember right (10y test) so your sample of 70 is pretty accurate. Explains why people 'learn' to hold on to losers. ...

Have you noticed a pattern in xx50 or xx00?

The lower the cost of entry, the more you have to be contrarian - think of housing vs FX. In a booming housing economy, everyone can ride the trend for a long time. In FX, theoretically everyone could too, but the low cost of entry encourages them ...

People say systems don't work (only pure price action does)

I really wish that was true, because I could turn the local creche into an economic powerhouse to take out Goldman Sachs. Diamond, I don't think you're wrong, I just think that Gladwell is a bit of a tit, so nothing personal .

Ridiculous Trading Myths

Nice work — Superb stuff Adal, you've dicked all over my efforts. I've been collecting position data for nearly 2 years now, and it's been very useful. As for the web crawling; great again. I tried to convince a very big search company (not ...

Retail forex positioning

I though f*ck me, that's sensible, I'll vouch for him, and then found out I had vouched for you, proving both that I have an appalling memory and I was right first time around. Even this thread is a classic example. No offence meant to anyone who ...

Ridiculous Trading Myths

I saw him on your buddy list so put 2+2 together. And clearly came up with 5 Second you on the fraud and deceit... the levels some people go to are mind-boggling.

Mentors & Tutors for new traders

Ah Phil, an FF veteran. Great to see you back here again (if you've never heard of him before, read his back posts). I'm guessing you must have spent time with Rob Booker when you started off?

Mentors & Tutors for new traders

Good grief. It was a question It wasn't meant as an attack and I'm disappointed you've taken it that way. I'm certainly not knocking your efforts, the long-term trend, the time you've clearly spent in this thread helping others, nor am I looking for ...

Building an equity millipede

PipEasy, can I pose a question? If someone - anyone - was able to generate 3 x R:R 1 to 1 trades per day, there would be no need to even worry about long-term trends. If your entries are as good as this, why do you trade with the elaborate groups, ...

Building an equity millipede

Killerbee, that's a good old-fashioned breakout you're describing, except you've just upped your transaction costs by hedging the initial entry. Trust me, the desire to be in trades at all times goes pretty quickly.

this is a debate about how to not predict the market