-197.80 chf/jpy could be a stumble with a week close below. I had a little weakness on the week on the majors. The cad gbp eur usd are on the lower side. They crossed lower this week. the aud nzd chf on the upper side still. If they cross its a ...

The Swamp

The aud on a year chart getting a foothold below 104.50. Is likely a unwind.. the chf at 0 is the better carry trade verse the yen if it unwinds.

The Swamp

Something is up with the yen. I don't have my finger on it yet. The carry trade appears to be unwinding. The AJ crossed to the bear side.

The Swamp

I closed the long, because it was looking to closed under 1913. 1894 could support. But that 6h close has me thinking the 12h will align with a push down. I may be wrong. But they didn't agree. The easier rode was a close above 1894 and 1914 video

The Swamp

It can stay where it is to be on the bear side of 1894. A green candle above those R's should be a b/o. But the adr is just above 50 pips.. If it jumps above 1894, it may be trying for 1914+

The Swamp

I cant give this 100 %. If the 6h closes above 1914. The 12husualy follows. If the 12h close is above 1914. It usually means it wants to test a break out area. In this case above 1914 points North. Below 1913 6h, and 12h points South in a mirror was ...

The Swamp

The way the 12h closed last to me made the support have a better chance to hold, the R a better chance to break. That don't mean it will. It made a LL and a HH in that period since the 12h close. That LL after a hh is suspect now. To rise it would ...

The Swamp

some pressure to go North on eu..

The Swamp

The ea and eu confirmed the aud is weaker looking today. The yen looks the strongest today over euro and aud. the usd even weaker

The Swamp

this right here is the 12h,, it closed opposite of the 6h close. plus , the 6h indicator earlier was at odds with that 6h close. 2 out of 3 things pointed down. It cut the odds of the LC run. I closed with a few pips.

The Swamp

My 6h on the bear side of the AJ. I will try a long 109.70ish. s/l about 109.56.. need a small long trigger.. LC tp would be about 75 pips, verse a 14 pips s/l

The Swamp

I think it has a better chance to rise 60 pips.

The Swamp

If the next h closes below 109.869.. That's a 6h close. That more often leads to a down day. That should indicate the yen retrace on strength. Above is more a bullish line up.. LC would look doable.

The Swamp

Last week the yen was weak. That looks to have changed. On the majors, all but the aj has crossed the bear line to me. The aud is close to testing it on this fall. 109.869/109.55 is where I wanted to long.. But that's not so clear now because the ...

The Swamp

You may want to give 1894 some room.. Maybe 40 pips. It closed a day above. 1874ish could support some. It has the attraction to 1911.. So if it failing to retrace or stalling.. In the air at or below 1894.. It may catch a bull move. 1874 gives ...

The Swamp

to be honest with you, to me 1743 is larger than 1894. In the big scheme both are large. The trades I closed this week already. I may take the same trade again if it comes back

The Swamp

I cant say for sure if it means much. I had 70,860 as a possible place of interest on the drop, I thought could support. It hasn't supported, but it may have the residual R there now. Over it's history even when less than 40$, after a ATH. Bitcoin ...

The Swamp

I have it a little higher may form R as an old support before.

The Swamp

The slight bull side close. favored gold up

The Swamp

image EU 1894* see if it has some support there.

The Swamp