Thank goodness I'm not a conspiracy person, because if I were I'd say, "that sounds like manipulation of numbers, just like the market makers". But I'm not - I'm long today.

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It is so hard for me to believe but the 10year T-note is only 1.644% and the VIX dropped 4% this morning indicates to me that it is currently RISK ON! Opened a small long here 1.2250 image

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image OOPS...

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OK folks, the FOMC minutes are out - nothing special there the 10yield notes are under 1.7% - no inflation there so that means..... image I'm looking at RISK ON for now due to the tremendous amount of liquidity in the markets, the FED staying on ...

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Dude do not apologize you nailed it and you've got street cred (at least in my eyes). I love to read you posts and analysis - keeps me honest!

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I'm frankly stumped by the PA in EU today. I had to put on my fortune teller hat and this is what popped out.... Consolidation until the FED minutes at 14:00 EST at which time the FED only confirms what it's members have been saying - no raising ...

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You are correct but I believe pre-mature. Wait until the Dow/Nasdaq loose 8% or more THEN the USD will skyrocket (temporarily until Risk On happens again)

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Waiting for a pullback to 1.2190 for a long entry...

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I forgot to post WHY I'm long the method behind the madness: 4 hour charts (most important for me as a swing trader) show that the 1.2080 level was the 50% retracement from the May 5-9 run. Plus I'm bullish on EUR image image

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I'm underwater but still...esecially here adding long. image

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What's that? image

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I'm putting on my seer hat and this is what I believe will occur: CPI numbers higher than warranted - markets get spooked - big spike down but transitory. 1.2080 holds ...markets stay down waiting for NYSE to open which it will down big. Around ...

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Dude, I feel your pain. For many, many years I would do that, get in on the right side of a position and when it spiked I would get my profit target but I always kept trying to get more from going in the opposite direction and it would eat me alive ...

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Volatility picking up -

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1.2200 is the next resistance but it won't hit it today - if it does I will short at 1.2200 for a quick 15-20 pip pullback; odds are unlikely to hit it today.

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Because we are in a EUR/USD bull market right now - that's why. Follow the trend

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Exactily image

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Why do you think there will be a sell off? What in the charts is indicating that to you? I'm curious - really

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Remember, when the USA economy is hot it's risk on and USD is a risk off asset.

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Good numbers mean.... Long 1.2130 to 1.2150ish image

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