Had another look and can see where your data came from but haven't seen a link between some of the FF data and ABS data. I guess it depends whether the forecast is based purely on ABS data or takes into consideration other factors. Using the ABS ...

AUD/USD

Not sure I follow where you got all your figures from?? FF were showing forecast of adding 200 jobs so when from 34 years of JP's data the lowest December add was 10,000 jobs I'd say it's a far better chance than 50/50 that this month's data would ...

AUD/USD

Thanks JP! Will have to file this away for future reference, noting that December & Sept have always shown increases, July almost always, whilst Jan always down and August most of the time. (All my references to the Australia total not individual ...

AUD/USD

Between you & HelloOz there are several manufacturing companies identified as good examples. To me it doesn't matter if they are true Aussie brands or not. What matters is relative exchange rate. As long as it stays relatively high more of these ...

AUD/USD

If AUD at 50c wouldn't make a change than why do those in charge at the RBA care about the exchange rate? Even if there was no manufacturing the exchange rate would make a difference to tourism (more come from overseas & fewer Aussies travel ...

AUD/USD

Curious as to who the 6 are?

AUD/USD

Can you explain why you believe a substantial downside move has to happen in next two weeks?

Australian Bear Raid

I've read the articles and don't pretend to understand all of them but from what I do understand I accept that extension of twist is unlikely. I now wonder about another scenario though: Before the US election it was suggested that if Romney got in ...

AUD/USD

I respect your opinion so plan to read those articles, however I can't see QE4 happening anytime soon. With the first 3 happening approx 2yrs apart it is FAR too early to be looking to QE4. With Twist (some say QE2.5) due to finish I CAN easily see ...

AUD/USD

You have some excellent points as to why the AUD is high and as a current bear I need to reread your post more often to maintain perspective. That said I think it a huge call to say that "Aussie will not soon be dropping in any sustained, trending ...

AUD/USD

Agree that lack of cut will give some action up but given I'm in the bear camp (I see more downside risk than upside potential and are willing and able to hold for long term) I was meaning action down. My bad for not explaining better. Tourism - ...

AUD/USD

Do you mean the recent high of 1.0490 or the high on daily chart at 1.0625 or all time high of 1.1080? (or other?) The way I see it first could easily be hit with the right (or wrong, depending on your perspective words) about fiscal cliff. Second ...

AUD/USD

I'd find the RBA keeping rates on hold more depressing than funny because that would leave only US Fiscal cliff to give us some action in the next month or two unless Europe lights up again given no RBA meet in Jan. Given that the longer AUD is high ...

AUD/USD

I've largely stopped reading news articles to avoid the 'noise' but do scan headlines. I am aware that there are elections this weekend in Spain for the Catalonia region who want independence. Not seeing it come up much, wondering if it has become a ...

AUD/USD

"another round of layoffs for Australia" but the references to Fermont, Quebec & Wabush are Canadian..... Am also surprised at your references to prices in the 1.03s (in your other post) but I'm guessing they are futures levels not spot.

Australian Bear Raid

Very interesting concept and chart, which I will need to look at closer when have a larger screen (am currently on the laptop). Is it easy to put multiple pairs on the one chart? Is it dependant on your platform?

AUD/USD

Agree that there's some small support at that level. If breached then should target 1.04 for next support. I'm not aware of any reason for bearish turn in last two hours but failure to set a higher high than last weeks 1.048 is not a great sign for ...

AUD/USD

I'd be interested in the thread & being in Australia that's my main session. Presently though as I'm still learning I don't have heaps to contribute and am only trading AUD/USD until more comfortable with my methodology.

AUD/USD

I've thought this about my trades too!

AUD/USD

Thanks 100pips! First part of my question was more for JP but second part was inviting anyone's thoughts. I've just finished catching up on AUD/USD thread where I think Ken suggested looking at last election dates (which I've still to do)

Australian Bear Raid