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Masrim replied Oct 8, 2010I wonder how the BOJ is doing these days
Can they feel the depth of their failure?EURUSD
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Masrim replied Oct 8, 2010This is going to be one beautiful selloff if the NFP is indeed to be a bad surprise!
EURUSD
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Masrim replied Oct 8, 2010Perfect respect for resistance and fibs, and a great candle formation on top. Whoever programmed the human mind was doing something beautiful:
EURUSD
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Masrim replied Oct 7, 2010Ah seems the analysis I posted some time ago is still valid! There just was more momentum than I expected initially, as you can see the resistance and the fib level are still very much respected on daily TF despite intraday rally. Stocks have also ...
EURUSD
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Masrim replied Oct 7, 2010Gold is unstoppable... the US is winning the war of currencies on it's way to the fiat bottom. Previous trade ideas are almost invalid now. Only NFPs can change the picture.
EURUSD
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Masrim replied Oct 6, 2010Yes I agree with you, just trying to keep one in mind about potential "surprises"

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Masrim replied Oct 6, 2010Yes, that's what logic tells, but elections are near and "creative statistics" can be useful to convince voters things are fine.
EURUSD
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Masrim replied Oct 6, 2010If the NFP tomorrow is surprisingly good , both US stocks AND the USD will rally. As it'd mean less need for QE and good news for the economy in general.
EURUSD
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Masrim replied Oct 6, 2010I expect EUR/USD to continue drifting lower in the medium term with a target for next week at about 1.3640 and while the DAX is below the red line on the chart I continue to be bearish about the index. I'm not recommending a fresh short there(DAX) ...
EURUSD
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Masrim replied Oct 6, 2010So far the euro is obeying well the daily resistance: closed below it, and now continuing to retreat.
EURUSD
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Masrim replied Oct 6, 2010Yes, they are taking their time. Perhaps they are watching the Nikkei which is still holding up well, infact, it's still at the highest levels it reached during the intervention even though USD/JPY is back at the bottom, or maybe they are scared by ...
EURUSD
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Masrim replied Oct 6, 2010It'll be interesting to see if they will work towards confirming the double bottom forming on the USD/JPY chart right now. If I were in the BOJ I'd definitely want to use this formation to my benefit. So far it's holding, if barely so. I'm eagerly ...
EURUSD
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Masrim replied Oct 6, 2010Haha cheers, although remember it's just a possibility, if the levels get broken the idea will be invalid. I advise caution taking any new equity position before NFP tomorrow.
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Masrim replied Oct 6, 2010Well if a 400-500 pip drop in EUR/USD happens, which seems like reasonable correction it could mean a 5-6% drop in US equities.
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Masrim replied Oct 6, 2010It's all up to the EUR/USD rates and gold. Bottom line it's up to the Federal reserve and to any further QE. I don't believe that stocks can go any higher for now while the resistance 1.3940-ish holds.
EURUSD