Gold/AUD correlation is VERY loose and only over the very long term!

XAU going through the roof

I'd say that it can't. Therefore the NAU, Amero, EURO, etc... Very, very true.

Economics and Intelligence

From wikipedia.org: "There is some controversy over the existence of chaotic dynamics in the plate tectonics and in economics." rudenstein

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

Well then, keep us posted on your experience and progress I think we all would like to hear from you. Good luck! rudenstein

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

This is forex, not physics In addition, as interesting as this theory is that you are researching, the argument has been made over the past 4 months, that the involement of mathematicians in the market has lead to some of the trouble we are ...

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

If your system survives 2008 then it can survive any year.

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

:surprised

The Revenge of the Retail Traders

and fundamentals don't?????

The Revenge of the Retail Traders

Interest Rate Differentials — The interest rate differential between EUR and USD (.25%) is very small and therefore it is hard, if not impossible to distinguish bulls from bears precisely (and why they act as they do). When the differential is ...

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

Yes! I agree. EUR/USD is like Las Vegas right now. rudenstein

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

But what moves the market can't always be quantified technically. It could be that due to my lack of knowledge of Chaos Theory I am missing something here, but I don't see how a system like this can take fundamental news announcements into account. ...

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

Trade based on technicals only? why?

The Revenge of the Retail Traders

That was my point. You didn't realize that there was an housing report coming out which pushed down on the Euro. The fundamentals will always win out and there is hardly an abstract theory that can change this or take them into account. rudenstein

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

The Bolivar is pegged against the USD? I had no idea. But you are right, the relationship is obviously not caused by free market forces. url

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

Very good! What kind of charting software is that?

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

acidguy, what do you mean?

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

It could be a good indicator, but I'd be sceptical. Did you test on only pure 1999 - 2007 data? What was the result? Btw, have you read Wolfram's "A New Kind of Science"? rudenstein

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

True, but... — I agree, although the strengthing of the USD was caused by an increase in interest rates in 2005 (unlikely to occur in 08, but not out of the question considering inflationary figures). Don't forget the fundamentals! rudenstein

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory

--------------------------------------------------------------------- Aleksey, What? The Euro wasn't introduced until 1998/1999. How can you include the EUR in a system that backtests the last 20 years??? And don't tell me that you are using an old ...

EURUSD forecast & Chaos theory