It looks like US are just a few tic-tac away from clearing election 30 days in advance. A loss of epic proportion or not seems the only remaining question.This gonna make the things even clearer for the FED play. And with Draghi this weekend, ...

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we are playing a zigzag move : something like 1.114x-->1.111x->1.121x/4x-->1.097x maybe

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Well the way I read this weekly candle is : 1. Selling pressure was there this week (the long lower shadow). Sellers pushed price to the closest support @ 1.115x 2. The failure to break this support was not a surprised. Buyers are defending this ...

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Well, if they hide behind inline NFP after what (it looks like) have been decided in Jackson Hole by CBs (no further easing, limiting/ending free money) and Sept FOMC (waiting for confirmation on the employment front, ie. following roughly the same ...

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How data dependent is FED ? How did you guys get it yesterday ? I am not sure what to think about it. Are 3 inlines NFP mandatory for a rate hike in December ? Last year, September FOMC conclusions were nearly the same. Then, we got a serious NFP ...

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I think markets expectations for the FOMC are : No hike in Sept And hike remaining on the table for Dec. I think markets are waiting for a confirmation of a hawkish/very hawkish FED for the end of the year to lose 1.116x and visit 1.097x. Unexpected ...

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my definition would be Resistance = Old Support that has been lost AND/OR Last High and vice versa. Loosing 1.116x should trigger momentum imo. (I hope last US soft numbers won't be an excuse next week to forget Jackson Hole decisions)

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LIMIT SELL 1.118x TP 1.068x My reasoning : RISK-OFF environment coming but no carry trade on EUR, DOLLAR the Boss !

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RISK-OFF and Carry Trade could push Euro, but I think this is the tree, I will trade what I think is the forest : SELL here. Thank you, good week-end all.

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c. I am more bearish than ever "Europe is going to hell terra incognita sell euro, sterling and any European FX" I am 'adding shorts 1.108x -> for double TP2 and double TP3

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I found them quite confident and optimistic. Do you think it's too much to say that hikes are clearly on the table for Sep 21st ? At least, to me, odds seems higher than one hour ago.

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GOLD LMT SELL 1330 mainly because BOE, BOJ and ECB are supporting markets (RISK-ON mode) and because I expect FED to be seriously hawkish today and hike before the end of summer to avoid a nightmare later. thank you. Edit : RISK-ON ie. appetite for ...

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c. topping up for TP2 x2 FTSE looks really heavy and exhausted, it seems at the top of its short term range at 67xx. However, sitting on my hands here as I think it can still grind the highs until FED on wenesday

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ECB this week, they could ease further but I think - like BOE - they will keep some ammo and wait bad/scary prints from Brexit front to consider any further easing. Following the same reasoning, I am more expecting something from the FED at the end ...

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If it's not too late, Limit Sell here

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Or maybe, hopefully, only the death of demagogy which, I think, misuse of direct democracy leads to. I agree with you too : EU is right to ask , there are 27 countries waiting, that makes a lot of folks.

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But who will dare now to pull the trigger ? What are the odds of Art.50 never being triggered by the UK ? How can this possibility affect the markets/expectations ? So far, this referendum is a non-event till this article hasn't been triggered... Is ...

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Cheers ! Was great to follow the event here !

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Northern Ireland, Scotland and London Vs England and Wales but also Young people Vs Old people : I read that three-quarters of young people have voted remain (theguardian).

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