Tom, to the naked eye, that’s a pretty smooth equity curve. No really deep or prolonged drawdowns, or lengthy recovery times. I’m no statistician, but there’s a table in the following link that gives statistical error, based on backtest sample size: ...

Curve Fitting: The Ultimate Conundrum

At the risk of being pedantic, I think there might be some breakout and/or options traders that might disagree. If we can show that, following a certain (e.g. congestion) pattern, there’s a high probability of a large, clean move, even if we don’t ...

Curve Fitting: The Ultimate Conundrum

Version 1.07 of FFcal.EXE is here.......... — Version 1.07 incorporates: a) performance enhancements to the Events History rebuild (Alt-F9); b) options to include/exclude untimed (e.g. “All day”, “Tentative”) events and/or unvalued (no Actual, ...

FFcal - Plot News indicator

Thanks, Ragster. I agree, daylight saving is a real headache. If we use WGET to get the "raw" FF calendar data, then I believe the supplied data is New York time. But when NY moves into DST, I don't know whether these values are adjusted by an hour ...

FFcal - Plot News indicator

Version 1.06 of FFcal.EXE is here.......... — NEW FEATURES AND OPERATIONAL NOTES Version 1.06 allows multiple weeks’ FF calendars to be processed in a single run. Press F5, and enter the “Number of weeks’ worth of data to load”. This defaults ...

FFcal - Plot News indicator

Kurka, Unzip the attached to get News.CSV with all news announcements between 1 Jan 2006 and 8 June 2007. I've converted all currencies from UK to GBP etc, to maintain consistency with the 2007 naming format. GER has been changed to EUR, and I have ...

FFcal - Plot News indicator

Kurka, are you aware that the FF calendar is only available a week at a time? Hence FFcal.EXE can only load one week at a time. So you need to run the process once for each week, i.e. for 1 Jan 2006, 8 Jan 2006, 15 Jan 2006, etc. See my comments in ...

FFcal - Plot News indicator

Version 1.05 of FFcal.EXE is here.......... — Version 1.05 adds an Events History rebuild facility. It also tidies up aspects of the data entry, enhances file buffering (causing the update processes to run a lot faster, especially on Win XP) ...

FFcal - Plot News indicator

I haven't been able to reproduce this problem on either Win-98 or Win-XP Pro. However, all it means is that the app was trying to delete a file that doesn't already exist, so it's not damaging anything. The app already has an error trap in there to ...

FFcal - Plot News indicator

Josh, the process only loads one week's data from FF calendar at a time. Press F5, change the "No. of hours your MT4 is ahead of FF calendar", and the "FF calendar start date" to a specific week you want to process, and press Enter. When the process ...

FFcal - Plot News indicator

Gwan, I think of trading as a game of expectancy. To win with any kind of consistency, we must have a system of entry and exit that provides a demonstrable edge that is capable of overcoming costs. Then, provided positions are sized modestly enough ...

Poll: Is successful trading more dependent on skill than luck?

A couple of years ago, I was looking at buying two black-box spread betting systems, that take long and short positions on UK and US stocks. (I don’t want to break forum rules, or create legal issues, so I won’t name these publicly here, but if ...

Poll: Is successful trading more dependent on skill than luck?

I believe that the results of competitions such as these prove very little. Firstly, the competition lasts only 3 months, which means that the number of trades made is unlikely to generate any kind of long term statistical validity. Secondly, if ...

2006 Automated Trading Championship

FFcal.EXE v1.04 is here............ — Version 1.04 allows sorting/grouping the Event History by Date/Time, or by Currency/Event, or by Event/Currency. (Press F9 to view the Event History). It also tidies up some inconsistencies with the ...

FFcal - Plot News indicator

V 1.04 will allow sorting/grouping the Event History by Date/Time, or by Currency/Event, or by Event/Currency. (V 2.00 still in pipeline). Also, not sure if you're aware that you can restrict (filter) the events to be plotted by the text in the ...

FFcal - Plot News indicator

Kurka, I guess this means your question(s) are answered? Thanks for sharing. Guess that means I have a little catching up to do. This post will help. Fiona C – debug file??? Definitely not problematic; Plot_News doesn’t use one of those. Anyway, ...

FFcal - Plot News indicator

Hi Kurka Apart from url , I don’t know of an easy way to obtain either XML or CSV data from FF. My FFcal.EXE (which is written in Clarion, not MQL4) calls WGET.EXE to grab the FF calendar’s HTML for the relevant week, parses the HTML to get the ...

FFcal - Plot News indicator

GoldenGuru – thanks for the feedback. All future enhancements will remain free of charge. The only problem that may occur is if the webmasters here change the HTML code/format of the FF calendar, making it incompatible with FFcal.EXE. In that case, ...

FFcal - Plot News indicator

Thanks for this, Seeking, the 4%-8% per month is an excellent approach to bottom line MM. Must admit I hadn't looked at it this way. As for quality not quantity: I will need to review the James16 thread to learn which PB shapes and styles give the ...

NEW!! - Candle Aggregation indicator

SeekingLight, I agree that as the chart timeframe gets smaller, volatility causes the pin bars become decreasingly reliable. But unlike you, I find opportunities on the H4/D1/W1 charts very hard to come by. Here's an example of a recent pinbar on ...

NEW!! - Candle Aggregation indicator