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Schultz commented Sep 24, 2025Well, America is a great economy, a very great economy. The greatest economy in the world.
US Monthly New Residential Sales, August 2025
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Schultz commented Sep 24, 2025Verily thou must be quoting from the epistle of Miran, where the US Treasury doth receiveth many billions in tariff tax revenue ("savings") without taking anything away from the consumers and producers who pay for these savings.
The economy was a strength for Trump in his first term. Not anymore, according to recent...
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Schultz commented Sep 23, 2025Yes, I read all that thankyou. Taylors rule and the neutral rate are well known - nothing new there. I did not find it illuminating or convincing, for reasons. There is a possibility that like you I may have gushed, but I found no cause. I agree ...
Fed’s Miran Says Rates Should be 2 Points Lower, Explains Dissent
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Schultz commented Sep 22, 2025TRUMP HAS NEVER ASKED ME TO PURSUE A SPECIFIC POLICY I can't imagine Trump asking anyone to do anything. A narcissist is too afraid they will say no to a request. He demands.
Miran: Policy Is "Considerably Restrictive" and Could Slow Down Economic Growth
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Schultz commented Sep 22, 2025He's lying again. Traditionally, Fed dissents are explained in written statements released after the meetings. Miran said he won’t be issuing one. “A written dissent would be too short. I want to give a full accounting for my views,” Miran told ...
Fed’s Miran Says Rates Should be 2 Points Lower, Explains Dissent
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Schultz commented Sep 22, 2025I don't understand. I know that in the US futures industry client funds are segregated. The firm can go bust but the funds are safe. Obviously not the same deal with CFD brokers. Crickeys. I have not much use for CFDs for reasons, and jurisdictions ...
Vantage increases client protection with $50M insurance coverage
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Schultz commented Sep 22, 2025Good, thanks. I wish these things had vertical grid lines and I'm not used to American dates. At the first rate increase in Feb 22, inflation had been rising about a year and was 3.5%. Rates peaked in Mar/Apr 23 (?). CPI peaked at 6.5% in Feb 23. ...
Fed's Bostic sees little reason to cut rates further for now -- WSJ
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Schultz commented Sep 22, 2025That's about right. I looked at FRED - (I'd like to overlay a chart of interest rates and the Feds QE to see what lag is going on - I'm guessing about 18 months, For another time.) The Sticky Price Consumer Price Index (CPI) is calculated from a ...
Fed's Bostic sees little reason to cut rates further for now -- WSJ
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Schultz commented Sep 22, 2025James Carville said - I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the President or the Pope or as a 400 baseball hitter. But now I would like to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody. Bit like Joe ...
Longer-Term Treasury Yields & Mortgage Rates Jump after Rate Cut, Yield Curve Steepens, Bond...
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Schultz commented Sep 22, 2025I guess I could look it up, but I can't recall the last time that inflation was actually at 2% or less. It seems that 3% is the new 2%. Depends a bit on what definition is used which can be confusing. Should the labor market go into crisis what the ...
Fed's Bostic sees little reason to cut rates further for now -- WSJ
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Schultz commented Sep 22, 2025Actually, it isn't Stephen Mann, it is Stephen Moron. What he didn't realise is that all eyes were upon him. Now if he had played the game and built up some short term credibility by advocating a quarter of a percent, and modest thereafter, the ...
Central Banks Struggle To Regain The Rates Narrative
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Schultz commented Sep 22, 2025If what you mean when you say it isn't a good sign is that it isn't something that occurred to Trump every time he has called for the Fed to lower rates, you are right. It did occur to many others, though.
Longer-Term Treasury Yields & Mortgage Rates Jump after Rate Cut, Yield Curve Steepens, Bond...
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Schultz commented Sep 22, 2025Bullock was fronting a hearing of the House of Representatives economics committee all Monday. What she actually said, below - this was just drawn from her opening statement. There were hours of words on a variety of topics. Draw your own ...
RBA Gov Bullock: Need to be "very focused" on data in period ahead
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Schultz commented Sep 22, 2025Mohamed is clearly lying and hopes that none of his listeners have a memory. If in fact he can remember back that far he will remember Chairman Dr Greenspan. Greenspan could talk for half an hour and say absolutely nothing it was so ambiguous. It ...
Why Mohamed El-Erian says the Fed needs to provide more clarity
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Schultz commented Sep 21, 2025Nothing is my opinion. It is economics. Increasing taxes - any analysis depends on what taxes are increased and in what manner - I like micro economic analysis. For example - tax that which has a low marginal propensity to consume, if a policy goal ...
Trump's new man at the Fed wants to cut interest rates more and faster than anyone
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Schultz commented Sep 21, 2025Radical thoughts!! Slightly hypothetical, of course. I would like to think that 1. GDP growth would be greater (no what is called "crowding out" of private investment - maybe more home grown manufacturing?) and 2. the economy would be more resilient ...
Trump's new man at the Fed wants to cut interest rates more and faster than anyone
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Schultz commented Sep 21, 2025As I understand it authoritarianism is not partial to left or right. Wiki explains that it is characterized by the rejection of political plurality, the use of strong central power to preserve the political status quo, and reductions in democracy, ...
Jimmy Kimmel’s ABC Contract and Salary: What Did He Say About Charlie Kirk to Get Suspended?
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Schultz commented Sep 21, 2025It isn't natural to have negative real interest rates when GDP is growing. Neither does it make much sense to have a perpetual fiscal deficit when GDP is growing.
Trump's new man at the Fed wants to cut interest rates more and faster than anyone
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Schultz commented Sep 19, 2025I beg to differ. Kimmel said that “we hit some new lows over the weekend with the Maga gang desperately trying to characterise this kid who murdered Charlie Kirk as anything other than one of them and doing everything they can to score political ...
Jimmy Kimmel’s ABC Contract and Salary: What Did He Say About Charlie Kirk to Get Suspended?