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Replicant replied Jan 6, 2017Employment slighlty undershoot as expected & strong report on wages mid-term flows back on the table but no zigzag to 1,066x-1,072x area so far...
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Replicant replied Jan 5, 2017Happy new year to the thread and all members. I hope we are doing a "maps party" for the NFP flow
, always great to read you all and especially the boss
On the fundamental/ technical side Markets and expectations ...The Really Useless Thread
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Replicant replied Dec 13, 2016On the fundamental side Markets and expectations are heavily aligned for a 25bp increase, thus a limited knee jerk reaction is expected. For the conference, a neutral/slightly hawkish FED in Wait&See mode (DJT politics ?, Congress support ? ...) ...
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Replicant replied Dec 13, 2016maybe it's another topic, but the use of a standardized keyword in sisses outlooks posts could be also very useful, we could then find them more easily in the thread. #Outlook-Gold-MT #Outlook-Dollar-ST #Outlook-US Equities-LT ...
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Replicant replied Dec 13, 2016Maybe something like ------------------------------------------------------------------ Asset | Horizon | Outlook | Date | Post Id | FA/TA Reason ------------------------------------------------------------------ Gold | MT | Buy | Nov 9th, 2016 | ...
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Replicant replied Dec 13, 2016This is what I did but I could not find the posts at the given dates
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Replicant replied Dec 13, 2016Thanks. I'm surprised of some outlooks : I have MT/LT outlooks in DAX and MT outlook in FTSE at Sell not Neutral. Maybe we could add the links to Sisses posts at each update. Edit: I have also MT outlook in Gold at Buy not Neutral
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Replicant replied Dec 8, 2016Thank you for sharing your view. Mine is quite different as I don't think at all ECB today was extremely dovish as you said. In my view, ECB was inline/slighlty hawkish. Inline because a 6 months extension of ECB QE program without any reduction was ...
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Replicant replied Dec 6, 2016My reading is : Markets expectations for Italian referendum were a soft No, we got a hard No, but President Mattarella didn't call for elections (as it was also expected, whatever the result, as it would have opened pandoras box). Only this could ...
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Replicant replied Dec 1, 2016Thank you. I think I may have underestimated this potential triple whammy (Italy saying yes + ECB Tapering + Hikes/FED forecast) on Gold. I'm even starting to think MT outlook might switch to Neutral if planets align in the next two weeks. Anyway, ...
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Replicant replied Dec 1, 2016I don't understand why ST Outlooks in Yen and Gold remain in Soft Sell at current levels as it seems to me : Risk-Off environment is coming potentially in EZ as early as this weekend through italian votes ('No' vote being consistently ahead before ...
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Replicant replied Nov 29, 2016As FTSE 100 is heading towards a very bearish monthly close imo, I take this opportunity to post my MT and LT maps here. Of course I'm posting under the eye/supervision of our maps master Chester123
and using Sisses outlooks
: LT Strong ...The Really Useless Thread
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Replicant replied Nov 17, 2016My view... The last sharp leg has shifted the ST range imo
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Replicant replied Nov 15, 2016Front National party (FN) is not a Neonazis party - such parties are not allowed in France - but, yes, it's another stupid party (same hysterical old-fashioned national party unable to deal with the modern world as elsewhere). They have been making ...
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Replicant replied Nov 8, 2016And she could even lose Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Iowa and Nevada and still win !
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Replicant replied Nov 8, 2016There is a great page on New York Times website to help to follow the event with charts and data : url for example this diagram with the different paths to the presidency (much better on their website as it's an interactive one)
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Replicant replied Nov 7, 2016As we are all in the waiting room for the next couple of hours... As tapering a QE program is a triky process and ECB has no experience about it, I am wondering how much/far ECB could model its tapering on FED's one and use it as a benchmark . Of ...
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Replicant replied Nov 1, 2016He is a nutter but do we really need to worry that much if he is elected ? US is not a Putincracy nor an Erdogancracy. I am sure it's possible to find a majority of adults among the 100 senators and the 435 representatives
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Replicant replied Oct 14, 2016We've been waiting for a second hike for a year and were even expecting two this year. A 25bp hike will be everything but exceptionnal ! Nothing hawkish ! And yes there are heavy indications !
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Replicant replied Oct 12, 2016EURIBOR / Bank Table Borrowing costs of Deutsche Bank are the worst, and it's even the only bank that has to pay to borrow over a 9 or 12M period. DB is behind Monte dei Paschi and the National Bank of Greece !
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