Dollar : Employment (super checked +++), Inflation (checked ++, on track towards +++ via full employment & DJT), Rates in full motion : Super strong buy Euro* : Employment (recovering/checked +/++), Inflation (+, recovering/mixed data), QE (tapered ...

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My opinion is that change in ST/MT outlook in Euro will only come with FA change on the Euro* side and not because FED hiking process has reached its cruising speed, ie. once we get a clearer idea of a normalization path in EZ (end of QE + hikes). ...

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Stopped on euro shorts, can't imagine what would have happened if we hadn't had a NFP overshoot today and an inline (dovish on inflation!) ECB yesterday. Thought it was a no brainer/direct play.

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Expecting no change in ECB policy with cautious and very slight hawkish comments for the future to reflect inflation improvement. This should unlock FED hike flows : Short 1.060x -> TP 1 1.041x -> TP2 1.033x -> STP 1.068x I have a question about the ...

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I may be wrong but perhaps because DXY took 101.8x on D1

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B We are back to square one on the political side in France after the latest developments. Fillon is finally confirmed (again) but a poll shows he is now viewed as negatively as Le Pen by French ! If he finally reaches runoff vote with Le Pen, there ...

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1b

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Quick french presidential update for those interested : days counted now for right-wing leader Fillon, half of his staff have already gone, while more and more right-wing MPs urge him to drop presidential bid. However it should not happened before ...

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A buy blindly the hype (and ask later)

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Good news is that DXY looks ready to take 101.8 on D1

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1.051x again, maybe unemployment data in a few minutes will give the little push

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It's getting worse for him on the judicial side but he finally decides to continue the race, more shameful than ever ("it's the fault of medias and justice, they don't want me to win" song). That will decrease his chances to go through second round, ...

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For those following french presidential election: unexpected press conference of Fillon (right wing, "les rpublicains") planned at 12pm (GMT+1) today. Loud noise he's about to quit the race and be replaced by ???. I have opposite feelings for the ...

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"Take my wife... please" url

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LMT Sell 1.058x STP 1.063x TP1 1.041x TP2 1.033x and LMT Stop Sell 1.048x STP 1.053x TP1 1.041x TP2 1.033x

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Bayrou has just proposed an alliance between him and Macron I think so (but circus far far from over)

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If I remember well, a few weeks ago in this thread, we discussed about setting limit stop sell orders to scale in when Euro will loose 1.05 handle as there will be nobody on the buy side.

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Yes there is an increasingly worrying context in France : The fact that 54% of the voters are not sure of their choice says everything about the uncertainty of this presidential election. This has never been seen in France before. The only thing ...

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Both Buyers and sellers could win if we get something like 1.068x->1.088->1.048x (speaking about -> Long 1.068x -> STP 1.0630x -> TP1 1.078x -> TP2 1.088x | max r:r 1:4 -> Short 1.068x -> STP 1.088x -> TP1 1.058x -> TP2 1.048x | max r:r 1:1 )

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typo for the short side ? max r:r being 1:1

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