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triphop replied Oct 4, 2012OK, so looking through the usual suspects for a bit of background to the past week that I missed... AUD: Rate cut, should keep it pinned down for a while. 0162 is the level to breach downside. China: in relation of course. This China-Japan islands ...
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triphop replied Oct 4, 2012I go away for a week and leave it at 946, and right now it's at 946. That's timing for you. Getting back into the swing of it today may take a while. The only pending didn't hit, we were mostly ranging all week but the yen is selling off as ...
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triphop replied Oct 4, 2012Hello zkf, a reader eh, you're rare around these parts. A bit like good swing positions - they've always been a bit of a sideline, moreso recently because we're ranging so much. See saw of euro bad news // opportunistic QE keeps everything pretty ...
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triphop replied Sep 25, 2012And I'm out at 946. I know it's not hit 980 but a) it looked like it was struggling, and b) I need to wrap up for the quarter. Since then, it's rocketed on a bit more, the little feckers. Shorts I'm going to set a pending for around 3000 level, with ...
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triphop replied Sep 25, 2012And while I'm about, looking at this past today, the 890 level is almost certainly not going to hold. I'm short from the 2980 target anywhere up to 3050. Target 610. This'll be light with stops to boot as I'm near the end of my year. Because I can't ...
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triphop replied Sep 25, 2012Hovering around the lows at present, scalping in and out but now waiting for the up. 1.2883 is post fomc low - v significant. If it cracks, no heroics or rescues, just GTFU immediately.
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triphop replied Sep 25, 2012Hunted my own stop overnight on GU. Not reinstating that fella. EU is back at base. That's still OK, so long as we don't see LLs from here and should be a chance to add in. EG if it so much touches a pip past its current low, something is up with ...
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triphop replied Sep 24, 2012After that excuse for a day, moving swiftly on. I reset all analysis but lo and behold, back to long eu. In total - long eu, eg,uy, ey, au. Short GU. Doesn't leave a lot to short really, basically dollar sell off if I read this correctly. I'm not ...
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triphop replied Sep 24, 2012Pretty much done now. Booked 0.4% loss, another 0.4% loss floating with potential 0.6% max - so worst case is -1%. Last week was about +5% so it's not going to hurt too much but all the same. Any time this kind of thing happens the next couple of ...
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triphop replied Sep 24, 201220 pips so far recovered before scaling after spreads, pretty good considering true range over same period was also 20. Still at it - tough in tight ranges mind, like pulling teeth.
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triphop replied Sep 24, 2012Twas right all along on the eur side, but the DNT is keeping yen strong. The sooner it pops the better. Back near black now but my entries were pretty rough. Gotta wait out the yen till the orders run dry.
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triphop replied Sep 24, 20122 minutes. 78 DNT can break but must see immediate rebound to continue.
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triphop replied Sep 24, 2012OK no go levels are 78 UY (at 78.04 presently), EY, we're at it - closes below the low 100.84 = fail. EU 1.2918 previous low. Definitive closes below each, and I've got work on my hands. Nothing indicates adding to these levels, otherwise it'd be a ...
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triphop replied Sep 24, 2012Text of the minutes are pretty chipper - focuses on Europe, fairly bullish on Japanese recovery. This is the focus. url
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triphop replied Sep 24, 2012Nothing like a strong start to the morning. And that was nothing like a strong start. So, just to quote the morning briefings: • Japan PM Noda - Vows to end deflation within a year - DowJones. • BoJ Aug 8-9 Policy Board minutes - One member noted ...
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triphop replied Sep 23, 2012No serious gaps, no serious changes. I'm light long EU / EY still long UY from last week (gone nowhere so far). It's a bit early to call resumption of EU upward trend but that's what I'm looking out for. All positions are light in case I'm wildly ...
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triphop replied Sep 21, 2012Wholeheartedly agree Niels. FTI whatever's going on, hope it's nothing too serious and you're back on your feet soon. Enjoy the weekend all.
Technical Analysis Fallacy