Search | Metals Mine
  • Search Metals Mine
Posts by Trader
Website
Forum Posts
News Posts
Posts by Trader
    Advanced Search Options
    Post Types (all, none)
    Websites (all, none)
    Post Attachments (all, none)
    Sort Results By
    Date Range
    Back to Basic Search
    • EF5 replied Aug 20, 2019

      Come to think of it, this might be a tricky proposition. I bet some of these models are using machine learning so any edge that’s found won’t be very reliable. I still find the concept very interesting so I’m going to look into it ...

      Natural gas trading
    • EF5 replied Aug 20, 2019

      Thank you, that’s great info! I totally agree actually. The reason I ask which models traders watch is to know what they’re making trading decisions based on. There could be an edge in scrutinizing where models differ, like if the Euro says one ...

      Natural gas trading
    • EF5 replied Aug 19, 2019

      I don’t believe there’s any way retail traders can trade spot. When futures are far enough into contango hedge funds have been known to rent a tanker to store spot oil and sell the futures. It’s actually an arbitrage play, just a very difficult one ...

      Spot, Futures, ETFs?
    • EF5 replied Aug 19, 2019

      On the surface, it isn’t really bullish or bearish. The market thinks spot oil will be lower in the future. If spot oil is at 55 now and the Jan 21 contract is at 50, if you trade that contract you’re just betting spot will be trading higher or ...

      Sweet, sweet Oil
    • EF5 replied Aug 19, 2019

      Has anyone else noticed how deep CL is in backwardation? image That seems pretty bearish if you ask me. Definitely not pricing in any conflicts or other supply shortages. I did see OPEC is forecasting a glut into 2021, but I'm a little surprised ...

      Sweet, sweet Oil
    • EF5 replied Aug 16, 2019

      There's a limit to how negative of rate investors will accept. Maybe it gets to -2% but there's definitely a limit to how much investors are willing to pay Germany to keep their money safe. The future of monetary policy is not a -5% rate.

      Gold RIGHT NOW
    • EF5 replied Aug 15, 2019

      Yep, all time low in the 30y too. 10y bunds are trading at a -.71 yield. There's got to be a lower bound for yields. Maybe that's the point where people just hoard cash and buy gold?

      Gold RIGHT NOW
    • EF5 commented Aug 14, 2019

      There are a few reasons the yield curve may not be a reliable predictor: - There haven't been many modern business cycles so we shouldn't be too confident this will continue to work. - The yield curve has worked well in the US, but doesn't work as ...

      Don’t Panic. Yet.
    • EF5 replied Aug 11, 2019

      That's exactly right. I wouldn't even want 1,000:1 leverage unless I were 1,000% sure I wouldn't be liable for a negative account balance. Buying options could have a somewhat similar payoff, but with the benefit of asymmetric risk.

      Metal Competition Zone (Demo)