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Replicant replied Jan 11, 2019on daily TF it's unventful, we are still trading the break up candle
The Swamp
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Replicant replied Jan 11, 2019Agree, I have more or less the same level 1.14227. If bears break that level on H4, I will clear all the remaining longs I have for my final swing target 1.1650.
The Swamp
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Replicant replied Jan 11, 2019by the look of it, it looks set to retrace to 1.143x/2x if it can't hold 1.148x on H4
The Swamp
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Replicant replied Jan 11, 2019rejected on the first step in the area (53.3x) sideline here though, I think it could go higher, maybe a short-lived wick in the 55/56 handles ?
WTI Crude Oil Trading
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Replicant replied Jan 11, 2019Still riding longs here on ES. Have cleared at 2583 and now waiting for 2630 and 2723. For DJ, not trading it, but I have 2520x
The Swamp
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Replicant replied Jan 11, 2019From the beginning a hard brexit deal is impossible: irish border issue is impossible to solve ("they" never discussed about the irish border during the brexit campaign !). Extrem brexit (brexit with no deal) looks now impossible since the ...
The Swamp
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Replicant replied Jan 11, 2019Extension on the table ; Foreign secretary even speaking of no brexit at all if TM's deal rejected next week (very likely). Cable could skyrocket at any time now. No brexit => target is above 1.5x ; extension to negotiate a soft brexit deal => ...
The Swamp
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Replicant replied Jan 10, 2019I own him everything. I knew nothing and he taught me everything. FA, TA etc. He is currently developping a revolutionary platform that will be one day opened to everyone. I spent 18 months there and that was fantastic.
The Swamp
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Replicant replied Jan 10, 2019means Swing High & Swing Low Trying to extrapolate MT FA levels in eurusd using CB events (I know some can calculate them directly, but I have no clue how) : image
The Swamp
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Replicant replied Jan 10, 2019No break of 1.155x on daily, no momentum. Some "old" bear hands defending strongly the area. In my notes, they are all positionned since the very hawkish Minutes we had last October (check the breakdown below 1.15 on D1 and the retrace to 1.161x) ...
The Swamp
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Replicant replied Jan 10, 2019Intermediate target cleared at 1.131x. 1.134x/5x strong res and key. Failure to take it will mean more chop. image
EUR/CHF
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Replicant replied Jan 10, 2019I'm loaded in eurchf for a while now. Aiming 1.16 handle. But still waiting for the take off, need to take 1.131x and 1.136x. Volatility so low lately. I find chf has nothing sexy FA wise. Poor inflation, hit by the slowdown as well and SNB is ...
The Swamp
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Replicant replied Jan 9, 2019FED's shift is a strong pull-up factor for Oil via a weaker dollar. But on the other hand, we have also global growth slowdown coming. Very tricky. And, on top, information is very asymetric with a lot of deals behind the scenes between SA, Russia, ...
WTI Crude Oil Trading
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Replicant replied Jan 9, 2019oh now you use wide stop, I'm missing that
! so you didn't follow me... I'm curious, haven't you guys switch outlook to buy in otm ?EURUSD
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Replicant replied Jan 9, 2019Agree. I have more or less the same map. [53.20 ; 54.60] is a good area to fade the bounce for those who want to go short. Aggresive entry at 53.20 and proper entry on the rejection of the area. Bulls need to break up 54.60 to reverse the downtrend ...
WTI Crude Oil Trading
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Replicant replied Jan 9, 2019GL, holding my remaining longs here until 1.165x. It's been a long way... I've been holding these longs since Powell's "just below" at the end of November @USD-Bear if you around, you owe me one

EURUSD