In health care "reform" bill, there are businesses that benefit from it and there are businesses that will suffer if it passes Therefore, there are vested interests that pull and push the votes around. On the other hand, in tax reform, almost ...

Here Are The Reasons Why Today's Republican Debacle Makes Tax Reform Less Likely

Because this is bad inflation. Inflation is inflation but it does not mean one is another.

BOE's Vlieghe says inflation doesn't mean rate increase -Times

Greece has a bunch of debts to repay this coming Jun - Jul. Let see whether this is a non-event or possible haircut pill for the private investor who is one of the creditors for this same period.

ECB’s Villeroy: Clearly Not The Time For ECB To Stop Pursuing Accommodative Policies - RTRS

I think Fed is targeting the 1% rate benchmark - halfway towards 2% rate which would be "neutral" if inflation creep up to 2%. Halfway mark is not unreasonable as it is a "central" vantage point from which to push forward (further hike to catch up ...

Fed’s Evans: Two Further Rate Hikes Realistic During 2017

You know credibility and you know how some people lose it. Many if not most of the major currencies is at this current moment as we speak near historical low vs the USD. So what is this talk about strong dollar at risk? Even when other major ...

Why the tide is turning against the US dollar

I see these are just volatility. Before Fed official came out to hint clearly that they are hiking in March, much of the money are not yet in USD long position. They are probably still participating in the stock rally. After it become obvious that ...

Six Things to Know About the Market Reaction to the Fed

Market is indeed wrong with regards to Fed action. Back in Dec 2015 when Fed raise their rate for the first time since the financial crisis, the market was crying foul that Fed is making a huge mistake because at that time, market is pricing in an ...

Goldman's Hatzius: The market is wrong about the Fed

Brexit almost at 100% probability that it will occur in the near future holds lots of unknown risks to the UK economy depending on how the negotiation for new deal with EU work out. Raising rate at this moment without regard to the above-mentioned ...

Bank of England's Forbes votes for rate hike, others may follow soon

Market just want to jump at the headline without details. There is opportunity to short EUR if you have holding power. From my limited understanding, the so-called speculation for rate hike if it actually occur (or at least to be discussed in future ...

EURUSD Jumps After ECB Hints At Rate Hike

There are 2 types of price moves imho. The type of spike move, fast and large move in one direction without retrace happens only when the market is caught by surprises. If the market more or less expected the risk event and it turn out as expected, ...

US mortgage rates jump as economy revs up

It is also questionable that the USD "go down". It really boils down to your perspective and timeframe. A few hundred pips and a few percentage loss in USD is hardly "going down" to the big money. It is just "normal" volatility.

Dollar falling despite FOMC rate hike

If currency were to weaken as a result of rate hike as a matter of fact and "natural" occurrence, then the logical thing for _any_ central bank to do in loosening their monetary policy is to raise their rate. BOJ or ECB would probably do good to ...

Dollar falling despite FOMC rate hike

This is true. It happens in many countries. You just need to take a closer look at the details and you will see the "manipulation". For example, some countries "customized" the basket of goods and their weightage that goes into their computation of ...

Trump's budget director claims Obama was 'manipulating' jobs data

Fed is on the path towards monetary policy tightening. ECB is still on QE path although going to slow down the pace (aka tappering). Fed monetary policy tightening stance is already a fact (having raised rate previously and going forward the only ...

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast March 13-17

It is silly to continue to argue. I am only interested in making money because trading is my sole source of income for the last decades and if I don't make money, I have nothing to eat. I am just sharing my opinion, if you find it not useful, just ...

U.S. Jobs, Wages Show Solid Gains in Trump's First Full Month

You talk about the big banks. Do you know the projection of big banks on EURUSD value 3 months, 6 months, 1 years down the road? If you don't, go take a look. And if you know of any big bank that currently is advising its clients through its ...

ECB said to have discussed whether rates can rise before QE end

Millions mean little when you trade on leverage. An average retail trader in the trading arcane trade tens of millions worth each day. To hold millions of dollar of position is one thing, to trade millions of dollar of position is another. They are ...

U.S. Jobs, Wages Show Solid Gains in Trump's First Full Month

Resistance and support will work when there is nothing else to rely upon to trade. The fundamental piece (NFP) is already out of the bag, the rest will be subjected to resistance and support dynamic till the next FOMC big announcement whether they ...

U.S. Jobs, Wages Show Solid Gains in Trump's First Full Month

Trap. Beware EUR bull. Besides monetary policies consideration, there are geo-political risks in the EU. France election is one. The next will be Germany election. If there are any other people besides British people who desire out of the EU bloc, ...

ECB said to have discussed whether rates can rise before QE end

Market makers are "foward-looking" too. They are wiping the weak dollar short trade clean from their book so that they are burdened with lesser liability when the real dollar strength move come in the coming day. Expect the EUR to test the next big ...

U.S. Jobs, Wages Show Solid Gains in Trump's First Full Month