100%. The only thing that's genuinely surprised me though is that all this stuff - vol, gating, regime etc, it's proper gnarly to do for sure. But it's as important if not more so than strategy. Which is better - a breakout trading every breakout ...

Quantitative Trading

same here, I'm all over it. The differential is basically the training data- quant is a known discipline so it draws on the best of academic research and spits out damn near perfect specs. Decent trading strats - especially quant ones - are not ...

Quantitative Trading

Got you. No, it's different There's basically an overlay used everywhere by market makers, hedge funds et al that underpins all strategies, which is forecasting volatility and identifying regimes. It helps everything. Even a donkey of a strategy can ...

Quantitative Trading

Theoretically yes but it'll be a guaranteed car crash. GPT isn't good enough to let it run riot on your trading decisions; it needs heavily structured, parsed data and even then... you're best off programming the logic or at the very least, give it ...

Quantitative Trading

Some not all. So: daily vol - mad useful, drives me to the most active pair ahead of it happening. Easily biggest win regimes - fairly useful, flags up compression/expansion hourlies- any hour soon, literally. It doesn't dovetail with my existing ...

Quantitative Trading

Actually makes things far harder IMO. Quantconnect provides a platform and language but it's adding an extra step in the process; AI can natively python interrogate local data which makes it way easier and less steps. I'd dabbled with QC but I think ...

Quantitative Trading

gpt the hell out of it - there aren't any good vids on it. you basically only get it served if you're using the language of geeks but essentially, hourly vol forecasting. I naively thought it'd take me a few weeks but it's hell of lot complex; daily ...

Quantitative Trading

Nice. One step ahead, that's where I want to end up. I've always been proprietary stuff since this year but because of the insanity of what's possible I've done what everyone else is doing (outside retail). The models are effing amazing - all ...

Quantitative Trading

I am since AI picked up its game (past year). quant framework but still manual execution . similar?

Quantitative Trading

One more roadblock. Two things were bothering me and were obviously wrong. When during the course of a day volatility is underconsumed or overconsumed, when and how do you condition it to adjust for the impact of it. and what IS the impact of it? ...

FXV trade decisions

A bumpy start - because while the daily and hourlies are great, and vol regime is solid. And trend regime. The other three labels - speed, pressure and stability which are newer, made zero sense to my read of the market. Mainly disorderly all day - ...

FXV trade decisions

Eeesh, that's grim. well done for getting it back on track - I think you've expressed my worst fears of automation right there. Perils of vibe coding but if its any consolation a mate of mine works for a quant fund. He wouldn't appreciate any ...

Vibe Trading

you've definitely got the hang of the vibe coding - not withstanding Claude cocking up orders. What did it do so we can all avoid?

Vibe Trading

Well taking the piss aside, that's what it's all about and to win and get balance *is* the holy grail. Not just extra zeros in your bank account, so fair play. Re testing, careful you might regret it I've kicked off a journal here as I'm in the ...

Why Price Alone Is Incomplete

I mean 5 good decisions a decade and a lot of time off? I think you win Speaking for myself, the stress is in not knowing something - going full circle to what you were saying, it's nearly all context layers that are generally missing- macro is a ...

Why Price Alone Is Incomplete

That was my understanding too - for 2 decades in fact which is why I ignored it. But I was wrong - here's why. Macro just like timeframes have different event horizons. Typically, traders tend to parse economic data into forecasts into projections ...

Why Price Alone Is Incomplete

Sure, I agree will all that. But actually it's that limited benefit that's of potential interest. COT won't give me any directional advantage with my hold times (av 2 hours), but crowding should alter directional speed and jump risk. Should but ...

Why Price Alone Is Incomplete

Exactly the same thoughts here tbh. Unless you can see direct impact on price, it's not tradeable. And intraday (my TF) it theoretically should be - if we were at 95th percentile crowded long for eg, there should be sudden short squeezes short and ...

Why Price Alone Is Incomplete

This is hands down the best, clearest, cleanest most comprehensive studies on gold I've ever read. Absolutely first rate, thanks for posting. It looks like gold has shifted permanently from an inflation hedge to a dollar dominance hedge

Why do so many XAU/USD EAs fail long term?