Seems like it would be relatively simple. Maybe we could refine the trade criteria, and then I'll give it a go if I have time. Some questions: Do you set stops/targets, or do you simply reverse on opposite signals? Also, do you have any quantitative ...

Gamblers 5 and 15 minute trading system

I like that your system is well-defined (the entries, at least). That makes it easily back-tested. Have you tried writing this as an EA for backtesting? If not, I will give it a go later this week when I have more time on my hands.

Gamblers 5 and 15 minute trading system

I've decided to shift my focus away from news prediction (for now) and back to price analysis with NNs. I might include some econometric inputs to the price analysis NN to see if the they add predictive value (at least for longer timeframes). In the ...

Predicting The News

Yep . Works like a charm.

MetaTrader w/ Oanda

I'm not sure I understand this point... In my understanding, the Ask price is a representation of the lowest available limit order price. For the price to move above your sell limit order, open selling interest at that level must be exhausted. That ...

Predicting The News

Psychology and Statistics: A Story — I wholeheartedly agree with you, superdezign. Trading without understanding the logic behind each decision you make is financial suicide. Using indicators (fundamental or technical) as decision aids should ...

The Ultimate Fallacy in Technical Analysis

I purchased a temporary subscription to the news analysis program I mentioned earlier. Time to put my money (and time) where my mouth is. I suppose I should start with the already-proven ADP-NFP correlation. I'm sure predictions would be of interest ...

Predicting The News

That's exactly what I was going to call it! Trouble getting filled on limits?? You should always get filled on limits as long as the price goes past them. That comes directly from the definition of a limit order. If a broker/ECN is filling others' ...

Predicting The News

I saw a very funny but very odd Colbert Report with an author who was writing a book about the sex robots that he thinks will be popular in the next 50 years... but that's neither here nor there. I also want to discuss fading a little more. It ...

Predicting The News

Indeed, the reaction is of utmost importance. It seems clear that this has been the consensus for quite a while. To better understand price action around news releases, one could peruse BurgerKing's great repository of Historic Charts at news times. ...

Predicting The News

Right. I have access to MBT's Level II data, but it typically does not show any large orders far away from the current price. On stock/futures exchanges, such Level II data seems to be more reliable due to the centralized nature. I guess what I'm ...

"Bank Flow" Trading - Resources?

Moe, I'm curious as to why you'd say this. I can understand that spike trading is a dying art, especially as computer technology improves and brokers learn how to better deal with the inefficiencies. I don't see why econometric forecasting would ...

Predicting The News

Yeah, I suppose this thread creates somewhat of a conflict of interest. It is encouraging to hear that it can successfully be done, however. smjones - did you do this by intuition or did you use some kind of calculation? And again, do you know an ...

Predicting The News

Excellent! The comments on this article are great as well. My personal favorite out of those that I read: "so basically the economy asks the fed if it is fat. afraid the economy will get depressed and eat more, the fed says no."

Wall Street close watch

Indeed. I watched their tutorial the other day. I've never really traded options before. Could you recommend any good resources to get started with? Also, can you recommend a good broker or two that trades these options?

Using Oanda FXBoxOptions Profitably

Did not post my code. It still needs quite a bit of tweaking. In fact, my suspicions were confirmed: there was a bug in the output calculation. The results in my first development update are thus mostly invalid. I'll be testing out a bunch of ideas ...

Price Analysis with Neural Networks