Probably because not many of us understood exactly what he was implying For extra perspective, here's a chart comparing IVV (S&P 500 ETF - blue line) and BND (Total US Bond Market ETF - black line) over the last year. image Both markets seem to ...

The Really Useless Thread

Out -20 in live. Didn't fancy holding out for the full iteration SL. Good luck longs!

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I'm flipping. SELL for me please Sisse. And thank you for your recent long and detailed wrap-up posts. It took a lot of thought and effort to compose those, and we all really appreciate it

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Well done all shorts in iteration #19 In retrospect it probably made more sense to short rather than long, and in hindsight with Yellen's speech it definitely made more sense! I don't know whether this NFP will be an excuse for bears to ...

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Thanks for the link. Yes, it's all about the search for yield these days. And there's not a lot of it around! The report also highlights another important point about trading and investing: you have to adapt to the current conditions because what ...

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Thanks for posting these probabilities timster. I'm a bit confused as to what they're actually measuring though. In the case of the bullish reversal (top left), is it saying that the probability of the next bar after three consecutive down bars (and ...

Diversified Trend Trading Approach

Thank you Sisse, that was very helpful. I didn't realise there were so many variations of carry trades. A decent page I've found that highlights a few examples is here. Here's an extract for those who are interested: An alternative strategy used by ...

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Sisse (or anyone), really basic question about the funding currency here. I'll probably look stupid asking this but wtf! So, if EUR is being exchanged for USD so players can invest in the US stock market, then why isn't EUR/USD falling because of ...

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Thanks for the kind words C. They weren't that great though, not even a picture! Yours are much better. I was troubled by the discovery that exiting and reversing when an opposite setup occurs doesn't improve the results, in fact makes them worse. ...

Diversified Trend Trading Approach

So C, so I managed to spend a couple of hours on one of Reschke's setups on Sunday and have made a little progress. The first thing I realised is that you have far more data over different asset classes than I do, so the main backtesting should ...

Diversified Trend Trading Approach

Thanks C. The great-looking equity curves are the ones we tend to check the most, and rightly so. But I wonder how many systems we've rejected over the years due to an initial poor-looking equity curve which was caused by an undiscovered coding ...

Diversified Trend Trading Approach

Good point Chester. I'm not so sure now! See his reply to stt below. Maybe Euro mid-term neutral means the currency and not EUR.USD. As for the rate hikes, I notice that most of the banks don't expect a hike until 2017 despite what the Fed says. But ...

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No, Sisse changed to neutral last Thursday...

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This is superb C, and proves that the trend filter was a good addition. In fact, I'm not sure it's a mean-reversion system any more because it's entering in the direction of the short-term trend after a retrace Just out of curiosity, have you ...

Diversified Trend Trading Approach

Hmm, tricky one this. Could go either way with Jackson Hole next week. And technically I think a retrace is possible before continuation of the current bull run. But... bulls still seem to be in control at the moment so I'll go for a buy again ...

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Ah thanks. Actually it doesn't really matter because I have to bow out again now. Have to get up early again tomorrow. Ever feel like you're in the wrong timezone? But for the record, the only price indicator I still use sometimes is ...

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Thanks for the reply. Yes, I know you weren't trying to preach, just trying to be helpful as always. I wasn't trying to preach either even though it probably looks like it. It's very difficut on a forum with no body language to rely on! And yes, I ...

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Can we only choose one of those that you listed? I wouldn't use any of those personally.

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This style isn't for everyone and some people here totally abhor it, but horses for courses I say. The important thing to master if you trade like this is to adapt your position sizes accordingly. Keep in mind that even in a mid-term neutral range ...

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