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johncen replied Jan 5, 2026bull bounced straight from the support level and recovered most of the drop today. Outlook remain a bit unclear but i am leaning towards bearish
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johncen replied Jan 5, 2026yea will need that area to hold to form a lower low to make it work. That long wick from the bottom on daily is a bit concerning though
The Swamp
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johncen replied Jan 4, 2026Both the dollars and good benefit from the Venuzuela news. Let see if that is the reversal of the recent uptrend on EU
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johncen replied Jan 4, 20261743 looks a bit far from now but it would be nice to revisit. normal days it should revisit but if market sentiment sours it could continue to drop
The Swamp
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johncen replied Jan 2, 2026yea outlook remain pretty bullish but we may remain in holiday mode so could continue to range for sometime. Weak dollars remain to be the main theme as long as Trump is in the office.
The Swamp
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johncen replied Jan 1, 2026Happy New Year all. latest Cot report. Big players still adding more shorts
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johncen replied Jan 1, 2026Have not checked Cot for a long time as govt closed Cot has also stopped updating for a while. But it appears from 16 Dec to 23 Dec big players are adding more shorts again
The Swamp
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johncen replied Dec 17, 2025Let see if we get to 1680 or lower 1610-20 before next potential rise. On holiday so will have limited access to my chart for the next week or two
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johncen replied Dec 16, 2025should see 1780 at least but we are going sideways waiting for red news mayb
The Swamp
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johncen replied Dec 15, 2025All looking bullish for now but may need a retracement towards 1680 or 161x before attacking higher levels. plenty of news this week, anything possible
The Swamp
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johncen replied Dec 15, 20251680 first support. 1610-20 must hold for bull scenario to play out. I am not sure if we are still in wave b of the abc correction on daily tf. fundi outlook is not favouring the dollars
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johncen replied Dec 14, 2025If we get a retracement towards 1650 level maybe a good place to buy for this week. No sign of bear!
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johncen replied Dec 11, 2025yup if above 1750 it is more likely to see 1.2 though than 1.12
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johncen replied Dec 10, 2025Have been talking about this potential abc retracement since Sep/Oct, not sure if b wave is now done or a bit higher
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johncen replied Dec 10, 2025was expecting more hawkish tone but it ended up pretty dovish. Eu bull has room to go higher!
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