Hang in there... — Just an outsider peeking in, but... it seems as if you've done well with AUD/USD also. Perhaps EUR/USD and AUD/USD? Good luck and good trading.

Volatility Exploit

My methods lean more toward.... — My methods lean more toward conjuring or the black arts or shamanism, divination, wicca or any kind of pagan or neo-pagan practice. Charms, cards, familiars, bloodstones or hex signs or any of the ritual ...

Remote Viewing

All that I can offer... — I've used them near since they went live, July of 2009 I believe. My listed account is with Oanda, which basically only requires us to update the account history to myfxbook. I feel pretty safe with that. I know ...

myFXbook...safe to use ?

Some great work.... — Capitalist88 does some great work, a first-rate mind. Your Archive of Research Notes on your site is phenomenal as well. A healthy, thoughtful thread... thanks everyone, I've enjoyed participating. (edited) In response to ...

A "hardcore" mathematics question

The solution is near to this... — I agree, there is an exact solution because it is a finite number of trades (30). A path to the approach is buried in Craig's link previously, the information on random walk, I believe. Or- Using the 60/40 ...

A "hardcore" mathematics question

I thought your Excel program was right on... — At initial inspection, I thought your Excel program was right on, nice work! (as I look at it at this moment). After coffee, I tweaked the program and ran some numbers for you to compare as you ...

A "hardcore" mathematics question

Don't laugh at my old school BASIC.... — I took Craig's idea on Monte Carlo simulating it with a BASIC program. Don't laugh at my ancient programming skills... it's been a long time, and I've forgotten most of the Fortran, Pascal, and C that I ...

A "hardcore" mathematics question

Ways to breakdown their trading strategies... — The second account is easier to pick apart, at least as I'm looking at it on April 3rd. This is someone who obviously doesn't close any trades as losers, holds the losing trades. What happens is ...

Fact or Ficition - Myfxbook.com

You are absolutey right...thank you — So in that example... Cost at MB Trading would be: .295 *2 (1.35) .79 pips + 0.9 pips = 1.69 pips and Oanda's one time loss of 0.9 pips Sorry, I'm a little slow today it seems. I edited the above post.

Which MM or ECN brokers can beat Oanda Spread?

You are right... — You are right, thank you...I am so used to thinking in units (because of Oanda's trade size settings) Deleted Post Cocoflanel's math is correct.

Which MM or ECN brokers can beat Oanda Spread?

You are a much better mathematician than I... — You are a much better mathematician than I, I like your explanations. May I ask how hard would it be to compute the chances of having 10 more losses than wins at any time in a sequence of up to ...

A "hardcore" mathematics question

Nice formula that is excellent work... — That is great stuff, but... I still believe his original question pertains to the possibility of a loss of 10 or more units of trading capital during a sequence of 30 trades with those parameters. So ...

A "hardcore" mathematics question

MB Trading is a close competitor — MB Trading is near same cost... their spread is 0.9 pips most of the time as well, perhaps sometimes a fraction less. They are also an ECN, you can have your order represented on the bid/offer among their ...

Which MM or ECN brokers can beat Oanda Spread?

I think.... — I think what he is asking... With a winning trade chance of 60% and a losing trade chance of 40% on any individual trade, with an R:R of 1:1... after any series of 30 trades... what is the chance for being down 10 or more units ...

A "hardcore" mathematics question

There are a few talented mathematicians around... — One of my first choices would be to get FXPetra's attention. (bump)

A "hardcore" mathematics question

Now the 1 minute chart... — Examining the chart, we see the upward thrust at around 11:50am. Following, you can see the area I marked where it trades "around" 1.3570 for 30 minutes. I also marked the "local low" just below 1.3565. Because we ...

30 Days to Profitable EUR/USD Scalping....

A trade where I try to think like a dealer... — This first chart is the 5 min chart for the US Trading day, April 1st. Basically, a solid uptrend is established. I'm going to share the "dialog" I had with myself after sitting down at 12:00 PM ...

30 Days to Profitable EUR/USD Scalping....

Probably not... — I think we all go through those times when we feel we should concentrate more on trading and put less time into "posting". I'm somewhat hopeful that even if The Fool doesn't post as often, he will still be a member of the ...

4% A Day Forever

For the more mathematically inclined... — Let's assume you had someone's winning and losing trade percentages. Along with their avg win and avg loss, and some number of (x) trades... you calculate their profits. ie: 60% wins 40% loss R:R 1:2 ...

How certain can you be that you have an edge?

March 2010 Results — Just a small update and reminder for myself... March ended down 30%, Account at $751.50 down 25% overall. Tough month, I have had 6 winning days in row, though very small, leading to March 31. I'm still using 200 period ...

30 Days to Profitable EUR/USD Scalping....