- Search Metals Mine
- Turveyd replied Dec 27, 2013
I don't read the news on purpose, you form a bias then it goes and does its own thing and wipes you out. Same news, 2 totally different market responses, there is no point reading news. And get over, its volume which moves markets, eu is a high ...
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 27, 2013
So no sellers for 100 pips, 1 buyer at market will move the market 100pips.
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 27, 2013
If you have people buying and nobody selling then the price moves upto a level where there are sellers, it does not require volume to move the market, just inbalance. This is basic stuff. Come on people.
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 27, 2013
Dude, we can all draw lines on after the event with 100% accuracy, how about calling some live ?
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
Sorry Magix, but he has a point the human brain does see pattens when there aren't, some people see them differently and better ( GDR32 for instance ). We are M1 guys, so not it's not going to respresent M1 data, no chance mainly due to news and ...
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
Hey I like playing with random numbers and stat's as much as the next geek

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
He's trying to prove that random charts look the same as real charts. But a random chart, wouldn't know to go flat and dead ( straight after I place a trade ) several hours before NFP / FED then wouldn't jump into life, with a purpose full direction ...
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
Truely random 0's and 1's, would come to approx the same amount of each, shall check that tomorrow your sample and a bigger sample from the site.
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
Short of finding a C64 and remembering what Byte to peek to get the random number of the sound chip, then how the hell do I get the data off a C64 onto anything useable ( emulated won't work, as it's a psuedo generated number being fed to the SID ...
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
url Noise gathered, via a radio signal from the atmosphere, very clever!
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
Definately not your programming, the data hmmmm, I'll have a look at it tomorrow when I get bored when more awake, maybe there is not enough atmospheric noise tonight for it to be sampling I guess. If you flip a coin, +1 for Tails and -1 for heads ...
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
Why don't you, for every bar :- I'm a basic guy sorry Ticks_Bar = Rand()*100 T_Close=Close B_High=0 B_Low=999999999999 for i= 1 to ticks_Bar T_Close=T_Close + rnd()*6-3 if T_Close>B_High then B_High=T_Close if T_Close<B_Low then B_Low=T_Close next i ...
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
Went out to 30K still see trends in mine, looks very similar to yours without the OHLC data ofcourse, which means you've definately got pseudo random issues. Ahhhh for a C64 with a Sid chip to take a 0-255 from, which is 100% random!

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
Looking at it, still doesn't 100% look random, I fear your random number generator is suffering from being only Pseudo. Here is a basic, Excel Random chart, most random generation goes straight back to 20,000 the start number, the trends you see are ...
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
But your using a random number, then a lookup table to get the how big it moves each tick ?? correct ?? So if your Lookup table, has a positive expectancy then the chart will follow the same expectancy. There is DEFINATELY a upward bias in that ...
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
Cool, look forward to it!! Better get some coding done myself, 6th deadline fast approaching!! Geeks!
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
Looks like there is to me, check the file on your random numbers. Equal + and - numbers I presume ?? Also, check the value of the +'s and -'s add up to the same, I'm betting you have more value in the +'s which is giving you an uptrend. Or just a ...
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
Re Read that mate, that's just initial value, not the range you want it to create which would be tricky to do.
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
Yes on more random than the others, even if the random number dataset you've used is for some reason giving a uptrend from the look of it. I'm thinking Pipups, simulated ones aren't pure random, there is a system there, trying to produce market ...
why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?
- Turveyd replied Dec 26, 2013
GA high to low range, 115pips, EU 23 pips see my point ?? I'd allow EU is totally random all the time if that helps ??

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?