Hi Graviton, I agree with you Yen analysis ... JPY should weaken (so xxx/JPY piars up). The monthly trend is up, but daily and lower is generally down. I downloaded some xxx/JPY index data from a broker, scaled to 1 (so 1.03 is 3% move up, etc) and ...

Multi-Lot Multi-Timeframe Position trading

Oh ... also event risk today for USD (FOMC). One more reason to lighten up imo. What's your take on this? EZ

Multi-Lot Multi-Timeframe Position trading

Nice Thread Graviton! I have come out of hibernation to actively follow it! ;-) Congrats on your USDCAD long ... nice trade! If you look at the weekly and monthly pivot points, you see there is a confluence (pivots near each other) of the W2 and M2. ...

Multi-Lot Multi-Timeframe Position trading

stupid pet peeve, so bear with me....your figures are in actual probability rather than percentage chance. Yes ... you are correct. % chance would be those #'s multiplied by 100. My bad ... ;-) Could you do me a favour and get your code to calculate ...

Daily Break Strategy

I'd be interested in collaborating on some research ... but I'm a R user (not Matlab). Any R users out there??? EZ

System to hedge every major dollar pair for profit / low DD

I did a statistical analysis in R on the daily range, and the % probability of hitting TP2. I think there is a better target to set for the take profit, rather than the 50% fib extension of previous day's range. Looking at the past 3 years of data, ...

Daily Break Strategy

Check out my post #5225 and let me know what you think ... EZ

Building an equity millipede

I am using a system that analyzes the commitment of traders report futures positions to give an indication when a trend may turn. Coupled with simple technical analysis such as moving average crossovers, this is a USEFUL and POWERFUL analysis tool ...

Building an equity millipede

EURUSD weekly range and pivot analysis — Here is my contribution... R code included if anyone ones to replicate my analysis. Cheers, EZcurrency

Statistical Probability Trading With Price Action

Thanks Capito ... very professionally done website. Bravo Zulu! You have put tons of time into the system, documentation, and website. I just registered. I'm sure I will be able to contribute on the forum there ... I have some ideas that I want to ...

CICR system (Currency index cross referencing)

AUD and CAD signals — AUD sell signal on multiple TF's: image CAD buy signals: image AUDCAD looks like good sell: image image Anyone else here short it? EZ

CICR system (Currency index cross referencing)

I have similar experiences in chat rooms (pump and dump). Back in '97 and '98 the Internet and daytrading was just starting to take off ... there were many stocks with low float that people would try to hype up. I remember one (CFON) which had crazy ...

1000% within a day

Many many years ago ('97 or '98) I did 2076% in one year trading stocks ... your 3000% in a day is impressive! I took concentrated positions in stocks (only 2:1 margin) ... and the trading was volatile. Sometimes I had -30% drawdowns for the month ...

1000% within a day

nice — Wow, nice going Xaron! Did you ever hear of Larry Williams (famous futures/commodities trader)? He became famous because he made 10,000% return in one year in a public trading contest. After that he became a speaker on the seminar ...

1000% within a day

GBPJPY new lows ... — Waz up now crackers????

GBP/JPY Equity Building Profitable trading strategies

Yen pairs ... — Did anyone buy the panic selling a couple of weeks ago in the xxx/JPY crosses? My lowest positions: AUDJPY + 850 pips CADJPY + 625 pips EURJPY + 800 pips GBPJPY + 750 pips NZDJPY + 650 pips USDJPY + 450 pips I added a few ...

Building an equity millipede

Its best to analyze non-commercials IMO. This represents most large funds. When they all are on one side of the mkt ... that's usually a good point to look for technical signals to trade the opposite way. EZ

Building an equity millipede

If you incorporate COT into your analysis it can lead to great insight into where to start legs which can run for many months and thousands of pips ... EZ

Building an equity millipede

EURUSD — short 1.3695 ... time to stack after SL at b/e. EZ

Building an equity millipede

Right ... you need to follow non-commercials, and do the opposite of them when net position size is at an extreme (I use 1 to 2 stdev of the rolling mean). Sure, COT is based off of futures ... but the futures track the spot closely, hence you can ...

Building an equity millipede