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Replicant replied Jun 20, 2019As expected merciless leg riding FED's shift 1.144x in play .... image
EURUSD only
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Replicant replied Jun 19, 2019Rain maker in US Equities is not the monetary policy but US/China deal & macro deterioration No US/China deal alone is direct ==> 272x ==> 262x in ES Rate cuts (that will be guarantee if no deal) will only ensure a soft landing
Let's Trade Options
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Replicant replied Jun 19, 2019Well not really .. That's a clear shift and that will have a very long tail ... ==> FA, TA & Monetary Policy are now all aligned
==> FED/USD are confirmed in the driver seat, setting the trend : Eyes on next macro releases as any flop ...EURUSD only
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Replicant replied Jun 19, 2019FOMC : got what I wanted here Let markets play the ball now

EURUSD only
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Replicant replied Jun 19, 2019thoughts for upcoming FOMC (already posted in the other EURUSD thread, why 2 EURUSD threads in FF btw ?) On the Fundamental side : Inflation in the US remains low : YoY Core PCE Price Index (FED's preferred measure of inflation) is at 1.6%, well ...
EURUSD only
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Replicant replied Jun 19, 2019thoughts for upcoming FOMC On the Fundamental side : Inflation in the US remains low : YoY Core PCE Price Index (FED's preferred measure of inflation) is at 1.6%, well below FED's target (2%). As important, survey-based measures of LT inflation ...
EURUSD
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Replicant commented Jun 19, 2019Nobody thinks a rate cut will happen. Expectations are a shift in their forward guidance (from neutral to cut bias).
Will FOMC send EURUSD towards 1.10?
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Replicant commented Jun 18, 2019Nope. TA wise, smart money has already preempted FED'shift with a reversal up in EURUSD and a reversal down in DXY on D1, 10 days ago. Current legs all across the board are just retraces to last break point (1.118x in EURUSD, 97.7x in DXY for ...
Will FOMC send EURUSD towards 1.10?
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Replicant commented Jun 18, 2019Current rates differential between EUR and USD is 2.25% to 2.50%. FA wise & ceteris paribus in EUR : => a 50bp cut in the US in 2019 will unlock FA level 1.161x in EURUSD => a 75bp cut will unlock FA level 1.191x (tip : just check monthly closes and ...
ECB: Mario strikes again
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Replicant commented Jun 18, 2019Yes but almost all early business indicators (the ones you didn't mention in your article) show that risks to US economy are now tilted to the downside, while core PCE index remains well below FED's inflation target, suggesting temporary factors ...
Will FOMC send EURUSD towards 1.10?
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Replicant replied Jun 18, 2019noise vs trend ECB's remarks vs FED's upcoming shift. ECB only paving the way to offset that shift (a lost battle). ECB remains in the back seat, providing only the ebb and flow, while FED's upcoming shift gives the trend. TA wise, it just gave the ...
EURUSD
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Replicant replied Jun 12, 2019My thoughts for next FOMC (couldn't make it as concise as sisse's ones used to be
) On the Fundamental side : Inflation in the US remains low : YoY Core PCE Price Index (FED's preferred measure of inflation) is at 1.6%, well below FED's ...The Really Useless Thread
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Replicant replied Jun 11, 2019Extension again in ES but no break. Bulls pushed as high as 2911 (they almost cleared 2916 without the help of a break up) but failed to take the SH. It's going well so far, just need a little break down now .. stochastic in synch Aiming same ...
The Really Useless Thread
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Replicant replied Jun 10, 2019I think there is also something nice cooking in AMZN. Retrace wave has just cleared last break point. Entering short here too @1872 for 159x minimum image
The Really Useless Thread
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Replicant replied Jun 10, 2019Nothing else to do in ES than load shorts and sit tight here. DT triggering gangster-like negociations again ...
The Really Useless Thread
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Replicant replied Jun 7, 2019Done, bulls held 1.13239. TA is now aligned with FA changes : we have a reversal on D1
Meaning : => we have unlocked the range above, especially a test of 1.144x where Key MT reversal trigger sits (cf. W1 chart). => But more important, with ...The Really Useless Thread
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Replicant replied Jun 7, 2019
image (I wanted to share that after the close (week-end time, mod
) but I just saw odd has already moved from 8/1 to 6/1 this afternoon. It's from very reliable sources. As weird as it may sound, De Ligt is ...The Really Useless Thread
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Replicant replied Jun 7, 2019I was missing the good old days with the MT swing in TSLA but I think I have found another stock that might be nice to ride : Netflix. There might be a MT swing cooking on this one. Entering short here @ 364, aiming => 31x => 28x => 25x => 19x , a ...
The Really Useless Thread