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The Swamp

Nice election risk cheat sheet here. Thanks for writing that up.

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Weekend is a time to put events into perspective outside of the market view I guess. And for that reason, Im looking forward to market open next week. Good weekend all.

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Or not yet? Need that boiling pot of milk analogy again. I'll try to find it. Found it. Nvm. Was more about bond correlations.

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Right just throwing it out there. Not sure it answers your question though

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Cheat sheet (broad) -> Soft risk -> Gold -> Medium risk -> Gold -> Yen/(CHF less now that is a quasi fix CB rate) -> Dollar -> -> High risk -> Dollar -> Treasuries (German Bonds) -> Extreme panic -> Treasuries as ultimate haven.

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I hate em all. GU looks to be at a point of inflection.

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I'll see your 540 and raise you 20. If I win I only owe you half the beers I currently owe you (I'll do the math later but I know it's in the triple digits)

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Cracked 1.06x. Tough one. Wether we close the week under the 6 handle I mean. If so, I'd say 1.056x is a likely place. But my gut feeling is right on the line. 1.060x/1.061x bearish. Anyone for guessing at a W close?

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I see it now.

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I share that 520 tp2 with you. Nothing for me to do in this zone as I took tp1 early at 690. Stops were paid for by doing that but in hindsight I should have stuck to my original tp1 at 640. Would have a tad more on the table right now if I had been ...

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Any of you pricemappers like 640 for ST flip? That's what I got atm.

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Hope you are right. Sad day. Three dead in most recent report I saw.

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Yes. Definitely. I had noted the most biased looking one I saw off the bat. Employment took a backburner as soon as risk came into focus last night.

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Decent employment report. No real shaker there. Certainly no substantive bad news of any kind. From the report: "The unemployment rate declined to 4.5 percent in March, and total nonfarm payroll employment edged up by 98,000, the U.S. Bureau of ...

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Stopped out uj. Was counter and just a scalp based on this news. Bodes well for the bigger picture eu shorts.

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Looks like I'll be checking the first one here on delayed hawkish playout from FOMC. This list uses PPP in the far right column. 2010 but gives an idea.

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Who makes the best drones? NOC? Is it time for Lockheed Martin's day in the sun after enduring a few liberal tweetlashings? The date of US entry into WW1 was April 6, 1917. 100 Years Ago Today.

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I see it thanks. Here's the quote the ones I saw were getting confused: Tillerson: "We sought no approval from Moscow or any other level within Russian infrastructure."

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If you start now you can squeeze in the rest of Billions season 1 before London.

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