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newbegger replied Mar 3, 2026image I was talking yesterday to another trader about the markets and why my trades weren't working. I had bought USD and shorted SPX (he shorted his favorite QQQ) and we were both baffled. Are we missing something? Was it different this time? I ...
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newbegger replied Mar 2, 2026Most movers are squaring up, already or will be, moving money into US treasuries and gold until the dust settles. Unlike the Tariff Tantrum last April, today is less uncertain than last year. With Iran firing up and Russia cooling off, lot's of ...
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newbegger replied Mar 2, 2026image It broke the 61.8 so I cashed in a lot of positions today. Not adding any more. I am keeping the profits in cash. Best to see how things play out today after weekend fireworks so just keeping MAIN position but just less exposure. Will post ...
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newbegger replied Feb 4, 2026image If you look how steep the angles are in the rise and fall, it's clear that we need to consolidate So I will be holding short EURUSD in long term account, some hedge long in swing account, and using short term account to make a paycheck ...
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newbegger replied Feb 4, 2026image It's slowing down now. Should be a nice consolidation now between 50% (1.1800) and 61.8% (1.1745) before it continues it's downward path. And if you dabble in other markets, as the USD gets stronger, other markets... It's all lining up, ...
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newbegger replied Feb 2, 2026image Was able to squeeze out a little profit as I rolled long term account from net long to net short. Still holding some longs in another account but now just as a hedge and I am ready to ride the forex bucking bronco. Giddy-up! I see the ...
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newbegger replied Jan 30, 2026image Right now, gold is down 7% and silver down 18%. I am selling/sold most of my paper gold and silver and buying paper USD to weather the storm. I don't think the US government shut will get fully priced in until after they close to government. ...
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newbegger replied Jan 30, 2026image I am rethinking to KEEP hedge on when we get to 1.1860. The powerful sell off in silver and gold may see this run to 1,1800 area before the trade catches it's breath. I will be waiting to see a turn in sentiment. The new shutdown is the BIG ...
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newbegger replied Jan 28, 2026image I hedged part of my long exposure after the rate announcement in case the talk of US government shutdown increases or other unknown. I anticipate shutdown talk will be bullish USD (safety trade) so I am part hedged. Looking for a run down ...
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newbegger replied Jan 28, 2026image I may have spoke too soon. History does not repeat itself but it does rhyme. I knew that monthly chart looked familiar. Maybe 2026 will repeat like 2018. Different cycle in 2018 but simlilar set up. At that point, prime rate was still low, ...
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newbegger replied Jan 27, 2026image Covered some longs at 1.2000. Putting some long orders at 1.1960 and 1.1920. Should get some fills during the FOMC statement and JP statements whipsaw. Good luck to all tomorrow. Happy trades to you, NB
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newbegger replied Jan 27, 2026Yes, the 1.1900 area looked to be area for some profit taking and I was ready to lighten up a little. But it never really indicated that a breather was coming. Now the 1.2000 area is different. Lot's of reasons to take some profits. If we see it ...
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newbegger replied Jan 26, 2026image Definitely was the right decision to change sides in the long term account. At this stage, good news is bad for USD and bad news is good for USD. But, no matter how much "The Donald" talks down the interest rate (and the USD), there are ...
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newbegger replied Jan 14, 2026I think I still have some ICT videos. He had a website set up for it. Don't know if its still out there. I use similar technique but I look at cycles rather than ICT order blocks. I look at the trade more like Mark Cooke or Larry Williams
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newbegger replied Jan 14, 2026It's business as usual. Short EURUSD at the start of the year and then cash out on retail to cover and collect bank. History doesn't repeat itself but it does rhyme - M. Twain Happy Trades to you, NB
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newbegger replied Jan 14, 2026image So... Looks like my end of year prediction was wrong. Whether it's just muscle memory or real decisions being made, the movers are doing a normal start of the year, buying USD. I have already turned my positions, took my shorts off (joke) ...
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newbegger replied Dec 18, 2025image For 2026, I expect a year similar to 2018. Early on buying into January to give the feeling that they are buying EURUSD. Then the switch after they have traders convinced of the bull. The trick is to accumulate shorts (slow but steady ...
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newbegger replied Dec 18, 2025image It's been a good year. Early on I was running mostly longs with a little hedging. After the dog days of summer started, typical ranging trade, I went to trading in and out of shorts to pay the mortgage (ring the register) and holding longs ...
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newbegger replied Dec 10, 2025I did ok on shopping. Got filled at 1.1630 but cart still has orders at all the way down to 1.1590 area. No fills yet;-( I am closing up shop anyway before monthly options expiration on Dec 19 so no big deal if they fill or don't fill. Have some ...
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newbegger replied Dec 8, 2025I am on shopping spree, buying into weakness. 1.1560 will be my check point to cut some longs loose, if seen. I interpret price action as the movers pushing down to accumulate before THE rate cut. Specs getting it wrong of the FED. They will be more ...
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