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Tenetch replied May 15, 2010I think you could use a binomial distribution You make C1000,10 * (0,5)^10*(1-0.5)^990=0 (really small) PS: It's wrong it's give you the probability of 10 losing trade in the 1000 not in a row ,sorry
Calculating probability of losing streaks
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Tenetch replied May 7, 2010ForexQuant, Can you please give a definition for the profit factor ? the profit factor is made from the %win and the risk/r ,but the %win is also use as a parameter ,so i am a bit confused.(from : url ) (I don't want to troll or anything it's look ...
Profit Factor Phase Space
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Tenetch replied May 4, 2010I am not scalping . But i can try to answer so of your questions : From what i read in FF it seems that scalping is more often use for or trades that last a few bar vs trend following (unlimited number of bar ). than for short term trades . For you ...
Scapling - Long Term Vs Short Term Trade
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Tenetch replied Mar 23, 2010Welcome on FF, I don't think that anybody could answer this for you ,their is many way to make some profit but they don't fit for everybody . Also i don't think that you should trade live in way your didn't demo trade first .
Hello FF - advice on trading please !
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Tenetch replied Jan 21, 2010I think it's really easy to blow an account you use the max levrage ,no stop loss an you enter randomly .
Can you intentionally ruin an account easily?
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Tenetch replied Jan 18, 2010I also use scale but i didn't do the spreadshit . I have try it with F9 and it give me new result ,but i think you should have macro activate .
Evaluating profit
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Tenetch replied Jan 18, 2010Try these simulation(click F9 to make a new one ) if you don't want to compound ,you should look after something name Gambler's Ruin simulation(sorry couldn't post the link ,because of my low number of post )
Evaluating profit
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Tenetch replied Jan 16, 2010I will show you a way which is not acurate( i think )but should give you an idea . 1/what's your edge :R/R=347/314=1.1055 Winrate 85% so 0.85*1.1-0.15*1=0.789 2/you avrage win is 0,789*risk=3.94% 3/you retun will be of 1.0394^65=12,32 =>6163$ I ...
Evaluating profit
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Tenetch replied Jan 1, 2010You could use the stochastics indicator as a filtre, You could also use it to spot some divergance . But i think that you need to use it with some price action ,S&R or an other indicator ,or mabye with one or two stochastics with other setting .
How to use the stochastics indicator?