I apologize if I seem like I'm making things complicated. Trends are not random walks, though they can give that appearance. There is a confluence of factors that go into a trend. These factors are introduced by every player in the market. Some ...

Much of What You Know About 4X is Wrong!

I thought Newton's first law was implied in what I wrote, but I could be mistaken. Emotion and herd mentality are indeed factors in the market. However, even herd dynamics have a mathematical model. If the "alpha males" of a herd believe there is ...

Much of What You Know About 4X is Wrong!

Statistically speaking, a 100% system is impossible. The market would have to be a closed system with no external influences to be 100% predictable. You may get a good run. It may even last for awhile. But every "perfect" system will eventually ...

Now I know why 95% of traders are on losing side

Fluid dynamics is indeed a good parallel to markets. And just like in fluid dynamics, some general predictions can be made as a result of factors such as viscosity, turbulence, flow rate, etc. However, these predictions are general. Trying to ...

Much of What You Know About 4X is Wrong!

My View — I've been a long time lurker (only registered yesterday), but I've been demo trading for a while now and researching various aspects of this market. My opinion is that trends (as someone else noted) are really only trends in ...

Much of What You Know About 4X is Wrong!