Exactly, they believe the bottom is in place and they are predicting upside, while I believe the bottom will not hold and we will be heading lower. I believe the confusion is because of a typo I made (it's 110 instead 100*) - original post now ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

Hey Simnz, I will reply to you in details over the weekend. Best, Jay

Jay's High Probability Setups

One more leg down in EU would be nice, but not 'needed' like 1.1105 was. Breaking a major trend-line would be the best incentive for the masses to come out chanting for parity once again. Once that happens I'm almost certain that EU will reverse ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

Not really late. If we see more USD strength next week, then yeah I'll call it late, but so far so good. If you are feeling the DD 'pain' from this relatively little move in the last 2 days, then I can assure you that you are waaay over leveraged ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

Morgan Stanley have been recently putting out some decent predictions. They've been hitting the nail on the head every single time in the recent future. Luckily (?!) I was on the same side of their predictions so far ... but this one is where we ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

Not seeing a new high on USD by mid Tuesday, is a confirmation that Friday's top was the high for October. Given the latest NFP numbers & the market's reaction, we're most likely not going to see a new high, but let's wait a couple more days to ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

Hey Simnz, Thanks for your message. I'll do my best to get a little more involved in sharing some MM tips in the future. I'm even considering taking this one step further & sharing the current real test account for everyone to see me managing the ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

Hey guys, I've been getting lots of PMs recently. I promise to read & reply to them all during the weekend. I just want to give a quick update before FOMC for those who showed interest in the last set of 'timing' posts I've made (posts # 398 through ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

Hey Bulent, The recent bullish movement on AUDNZD is nothing but a healthy retrace from the large down-leg that preceded it. I believe we are in the process of topping & the next wave is going to be to the downside targeting at 1st 1.0240 & most ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

Once more, I'm here to show that when you believe in a trade you shouldn't let the market shake you out of it. Do your analysis, believe in it, and wait for the market to come to you. One day you will reach a stage when you'll be able to defend your ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

So far so good! This played out perfectly Sept 26 ended, and guess what? EURUSD getting hammered today According to our script, EU will continue to go sideways/down for the period ranging between Sept27 & Oct6/7 I do not recommend selling EU! Use ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

If things play out according to the script I posted last week, then there is only little risk in shorting the USD before the NFP no matter what the NFP results are going to be. The USD weakness is very high probability, and if we didn't take into ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

Bias for USD weakness started in early August, the conviction was established at the market close of Friday Sep 9th to be exact & it has gotten stronger by the day. I do discard few 'good' trades, at the expense of 'great' trades, and I see it as a ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

Sounds very good. True, improvement is the only way to go & this is going to be proven in real time

Jay's High Probability Setups

This is exactly how I used to feel back in the day in the Similarity thread & this ended up sparking amazing ideas into my head. Too bad things ended the way it did back then in that thread

Jay's High Probability Setups

So what do we have here: We have 3 colored boxed that represent 3 time periods: In blue, we have the period ranging between Sep 22 & Sep 26: This is basically the period in which the market will want you to believe that the USD is going to be weak. ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

In order to keep things simple, I'm just going to use a sample EURUSD chart. Please not that this is just for illustration purposes, the scale on the picture is not very accurate, more accurate values can be found in the analysis following the ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

My current analysis is showing that the next big move will be in USD. USD weakness to be exact. If probabilities are pointing for USD weakness, then the most obvious thing to do would be to Sell USD, right? Well, yea .. I'll definitely not be long ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

Okay guys, I've shared this with a couple of trading buddies, but I've been hesitating to publicly share it because I'm not yet 100% confident with my timing calculations for medium term trade setups. However, following the positive comments I got ...

Jay's High Probability Setups

Thanks Kornrogers, That's what I believe such forums are all about, and that's what keep me coming time after time despite the amount of endless negativity & trolling. If you search well enough between the tons of negative/hate posts, you'll always ...

Jay's High Probability Setups