Value this am image

WTI Crude Oil Trading

Two most important question you need to ask as a Trader is 1.What did they do with the volume - Large volume bars are used by institutions to either distribute or start their accumulations. Institutions are not that interested in price. They are ...

WTI Crude Oil Trading

its going up. maybe you dont understand what I showed you in that chart above. Those lines indicate where oil should be priced. ie its true value. The target now is 33.00 to 33.25 for this move image

WTI Crude Oil Trading

Huge pop in value to the long side. you only want to be long for the moment image

WTI Crude Oil Trading

800$ trade out of that blue box I drew in yesterday. image

WTI Crude Oil Trading

Selling the high volume up bars image

WTI Crude Oil Trading

I am selling these higher highs as value has gone bearish. Only problem is that the market has gone risk on and entered a bear steepener which is bullish for oil. image

WTI Crude Oil Trading

Value when bid strongly for the first time into that low. It was also the 150% extension of the swing area and the previous low. also all the Put vol came in at 30 for the gamma hedgers image image

WTI Crude Oil Trading

There where a ton of buyers trapped in that balance area by the red arrow yesterday. If price revisits into that blue box those buyers will be desperate to get off their trades. Good area to look for shorts. image

WTI Crude Oil Trading

See how the market blew through the 32 level despite all the option hedging in place. This is because there was no value for the institutions to buy at that price and the option sellers then need to start selling oil to hedge their positions. They ...

WTI Crude Oil Trading

32s should be defended and 35s Sold according to the Options market image

WTI Crude Oil Trading

image You should be short Oil. Lots of Macro short value. Sell on upticks

WTI Crude Oil Trading

37.25 is their target.

WTI Crude Oil Trading

At current demand it cannot even $28 was far to low. The Saudis where offering discounts between $4 and $8 per barrel when price was at $42 and they cannot supply the whole market. There would need to be a very substantial decrease in demand as well ...

WTI Crude Oil Trading

The anatomy of a perfect short trade. In an area of previous commercial selling activity (green box) High volume up candle that gets reversed indicates commercial seller. Retest of the high on lower volume with a spike in volume as it tests through ...

WTI Crude Oil Trading

Institutions will buy deep OTM Calls above the market (as they are very cheap) which they will use to hedge short positions when price reaches that strike price. They will only trade those strike prices if they have short value however. If the level ...

WTI Crude Oil Trading

Thats the current future price. 34 is now shaded

WTI Crude Oil Trading

Lots of In the Money (ITM) Call options being bought and ITM Puts being closed off in the options market. So looks like they aree bullish Oil in the options market. Volume in the ITM options are directional as opposed to deep OTM Puts and Calls ...

WTI Crude Oil Trading

Liquidity acts like a magnet for price. They had placed some at 43 which was not pulled and they got filled on it and they started to place liquidity below to attract price down once they got filled . see each time price approaches it they pull it ...

WTI Crude Oil Trading

1st chart is stats arb chart showing the price of Oil vs other highly correlated markets. When they deviate the CL is either underpriced or overpriced vs the broader market. The institutions will then either buy or sell oil (depending on if its ...

WTI Crude Oil Trading