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paddlepip commented Jun 23, 2016Hilarious. Bad luck Kuroda san. It also appears something large is defending 100 for the $/¥.
And there is the answer: Nikkei futs trigger circuit breaker
- paddlepip commented Jun 22, 2016
Seems like a decent appraisal Crow. (O_o)
Gold Is Starting to Look Weaker Below $1300
- paddlepip commented Jun 20, 2016
I think one of the key figures is the number of transfers, which indicates the level of sales activity... It is absolutely tanking. For established houses it's a 50% drop in transfers for Melbourne and 35% drop for Sydney q/q.
Residential Property Price Indexes: Eight Capital Cities Mar 2016
- paddlepip commented Jun 16, 2016
I'm absolutely convinced he's completely confused.
BOJ's Kuroda says economy continues to recover moderately as a trend
- paddlepip commented Jun 11, 2016
I presume there's an implicit guarantee the old fella won't fall asleep for the duration of the lunch?
Anonymous bidder pays $3.46 million for Warren Buffett lunch
- paddlepip commented Jun 10, 2016
Yeah... I would be too. Little bit of inflation here, little bit of duration risk there and hey presto! Policy success = bonds tank. Policy failure = bonds could still tank. Who in their right mind would plan on holding to maturity in this ...
ECB's Weidmann says asset managers may become increasingly nervous over low interest rates
- paddlepip commented Jun 9, 2016
Looks like he's just blaming everyone else. "Our policy is correct so if it doesn't work it's not our fault". Next on the menu, buying credit card debt / auto loans and RMBSs. What can possibly go wrong?
Draghi: On the importance of policy alignment to fulfil our economic potential
- paddlepip commented Jun 9, 2016
It's a broken market now. Not sure whose idea it was initially to murder yields to this extent but they should hang their head in shame and go stand in the naughty corner for at least 15 min and think about what they've done.
Bond market maneuvers sending mixed signals
- paddlepip commented May 5, 2016
I have paid more for a schooner
Trick is to get loaded before going out these days. Starve the beast.RBA names Philip Lowe next governor
- paddlepip commented May 5, 2016
Anyone remember what happened after the last 'new deal' back in the 30's? Ironically, it was the war effort against Germany and Japan that lifted the world out of the great depression.
Abe, Merkel differ over fiscal stimulus ahead of G-7 summit
- paddlepip commented May 5, 2016
Bye bye Glenners. He had a good run. I applaud him for making things considerably more expensive (except wages).
RBA names Philip Lowe next governor
- paddlepip replied Apr 21, 2016
Extremely high correlation currently, although they can and do break down. I agree with your appraisal of the Aus economic situation. This up move probably had more to do with speculative plays on commodities / interest rates than future ...
Just Another A/U Thread...
- paddlepip replied Apr 20, 2016
Seems to me that higher oil seems to be having less of an effect on the Aussie in this Asian session. Popped a few small shorts on @ 0.7810. Could be dead wrong though.
Just Another A/U Thread...
- paddlepip commented Apr 18, 2016
Low rates should also lead to higher corporate profits (particularly that wage growth is slow... or does it work in reverse?), but that ain't happening either... So... well I dunno... Maybe they'll just have to accept low rates just isn't what it's ...
Reserve Bank has room to cut interest rates given low wages growth
- paddlepip replied Apr 15, 2016
That's a gloomy outlook. Still, with Aus private debt at all time highs, an upward move in rates would be painful. And we don't call them "taxes" anymore, the new lingo is 'revenue measures'. Probably worth remembering that China is borrowing like ...
AUD/USD
- paddlepip commented Apr 8, 2016
Note to self, avoid pegged pairs.. regards, common sense.
Danish Krone Hits Peg Crisis Level as Policy Warning Is Repeated
- paddlepip commented Apr 5, 2016
*your You can thank me later. Party at diamond's place 9pm BYO.
Is Economics The New Astrology?
- paddlepip replied Apr 4, 2016
Must say I was impressed with it when I used it for a few months (at an academic institution). Bit clunky but a shitload of info all in the one spot, almost anything you can think of. I would not fork out 25k a year for it though.
Is the Bloomberg terminal worth it for forex trading?
- paddlepip replied Apr 4, 2016
Well wheeler caught us off-guard last rate drop for the Kiwi (which is now trading well above where it was beforehand - oops). Maybe they'll do the ol' one-two and move in cahoots with each other. Here are the daily zero coupon yield curves from ...
AUD/USD