After a second annoying miss to clear MT TP2 30.2x (for 60 cents..), clearing manually here MT TP2 @ 30.8x in NYSE:UBER A decent -24.87% from entry price @ 41.0x. Last taget of MT swing, TP3 28.3, just need a break down of 30.6x on D1 Trailing stop ...

Swing Trading only - All Markets

EURUSD ST Map update image

Swing Trading only - All Markets

"break up" "direct flow to 1.133x (1.1344 is the exact level that should cap the flow)" super Last June 2019 SH rejection (1.1344) has capped the flow so far, intraday scalpers smelt the bargain (high 1.1341) We ...

Swing Trading only - All Markets

EURUSD ST Map in a nutshell with major FA & TA events image

Swing Trading only - All Markets

EURUSD flirting with imminent break up at these levels. => If ECB doesn't raise current market's expectations for next week meeting ... (as it stands expectations are : 1) a max cut of 10 bp (tbh, how could they cut more with a deposit rate already ...

Swing Trading only - All Markets

Epidemiology 101 Lethality rate = number of deaths / number of confirmed cases Mortality rate = number of deaths / number of estimated cases A lot of people mixing these 2 notions and comparing covid 19 lethality rate with seasonnal flu mortality ...

Swing Trading only - All Markets

Super checked , flawless call from 1.120x => Retrace swing (selling FED's cut fact & preempting (slights) ECB measures) in play => Min theoretical target = 1.101x => Max theoretical target = 1.083x ... before the main dish : ...

Swing Trading only - All Markets

50bp FED cut but that is not news, that's just a => This is what current ST flow in EURUSD was pricing in. Only timing (before March FOMC) is a surprise. Watch out as Fact might trigger the retrace swing once knee jerk reaction on ...

Swing Trading only - All Markets

Timing wise & FA wise : => initial swing via ST FED cut expectations (we are there) : min 1.114x max 1.133x => retrace swing via ECB (slight) expectations/facts measures. I've just seen ECB statement but, well, they run out of ammo, there is not a ...

Swing Trading only - All Markets

Assuming current flow in EURUSD is the initial swing (as ST reversal up @ 1.092x clearly hints) : Value areas to go long for the impulsive swing (to aim 1.16xx and beyond) On D1 TF : - 1.099x (Previous ST Bottom) - 1.092x (ST reversal up) - 1.083x ...

Swing Trading only - All Markets

As it stands, FED cuts implied probabilities : => Probability(50bp cut in March) = 100% That will set EURUSD max rates differential down from 1.75% to 1.25% => Probability(25bp cut minimum in June) = 87.2% That will set EURUSD max rates differential ...

Swing Trading only - All Markets

Below EURUSD MT Bottom structure price is trying to draw : image We might have the retrace only once we trigger the MT reversal up Current flow could aim as high as 1.133x as hinted last friday

Swing Trading only - All Markets

It's a runaway move in EURUSD EURUSD already clearing first theoretical target @ 1.114x 1.114x is basically the top of the ST range image But it is time to keep in mind MT & LT levels as FED expectations are litterally huge (50bp cuts as early as ...

Swing Trading only - All Markets

Ok we had the first post Covid 19 macro data released this week-end. Chinese PMIs look obviously surreal but 2 important points : 1) it's basically a of what markets were trading the past weeks. It's a start. Markets were trading ...

Swing Trading only - All Markets

We might be trading uncharted waters... ES already trading LT levels (!) whereas we don't even have a single post-crisis macro data released. image

Swing Trading only - All Markets

=> EURUSD is set to hold the break up (1.0925) on D1 Meaning we have a confirmed ST Bottom now in EURUSD. That allows one now to look for long positions (for minimum 1.114x and maximum extrem top 1.133x) and that also defines value areas to buy ...

Swing Trading only - All Markets

ES found a floor via FED cuts expectations as expected and is now trading first theoretical target of the retrace swing @ 308x, after a low @ 3006, 3 points below my STP, very unlucky on this one to say the least... image

Swing Trading only - All Markets

there is a possible retrace swing in EURUSD from this 1.100x 1.100x --> 1.092x --> 1.084x I'm not trading it, got enough trying to ride the retrace swing in ES, even if trades R:R were asymetric enough to digest the failures Again, ...

Swing Trading only - All Markets

here : image

Swing Trading only - All Markets

EURUSD now trading 1.100x, there is a SH rejection there, high chance the level caps current flow

Swing Trading only - All Markets