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The Really Useless Thread

Enough strategy. Have a good weekend everybody.

The Really Useless Thread

Monetary Policy (fed, hikes, inflation, balance sheet etc) ===> ++ -> Macroeconomic Factors (employment, strength of the economy, etc) ===> + -> Risk Factors (geopolitics French elections, war) ==> - -> External factors (politicians interference, ...

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With Trumps domestic plans that were mostly bullish for the dollar looking fuzzier now, plus FED which is bullish dollar, plus macro numbers looking neutral dollar with some bullish exceptions, plus risk which for me is a big blurry question mark ...

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"or the other side say enough and do something even more stupid back..." I guess the fat kid with the bad haircut looks like a viable candidate for that. But heres hoping its all just chess.

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Yes it does. And if treasuries were bumrushed wouldnt that dump dollar via yields?

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What would a US war with NK do to eur/usd? Rush to gold/yen like stated before right? But beyond that? If something happened over the weekend what would eu open look like next week? Drum is beating rather loud at the moment

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New term for 2017: FEDshaming Ill take 1.061x for the roll

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Right on. I definitely should have worded that differently. I understand totally that, to quote gator "sidelines is a position" and dont look at it thru a binary lens. I only meant, since like you I'm short from a bit higher, in this particular ...

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Whether in neutral, sell, buy whichever, I think the question to answer at these levels, at this point in time, has always been whether the leg down will manage to make it to targets south of here before either a rally caused by fr election or ...

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Yeah i can see the momentum when 1.049x is broken (was my guess too on this question) and thats why i have it marked on my st chart at 520 for tp2 in the event that it doesnt break. On the other hand, for 20 minutes i am staring at sisse's short ...

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You and me both friend

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Once again... for hoom the bell tolls.

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Im changing my answer to whatever Fadhl is about to post.

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Couple of handles? 1.048x maybe. 1.056x would be big but not sure couple handles big. I might be putting too much weight on 520 tho

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Ah i see it. Thanks. I gotta zoom in my st map. At this point its only a 'short term' on a geological time scale.

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So like what range on the daily? 690-570 maybe? Whats your st range? I ask because i know mines large and perhaps out of scope for short term. Guess i can see 560 to 797 making some sense. Flip at 670. @sisse is that the st range you are working ...

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Wont be too shocked to see attempts at both sides of the neutral range as election expectations pop around. Was a tough call neutral or short for me. Guess the 720 stop on the short is what pushed me over the fence personally.

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> Neutral No Touch 1.082x or 1.042 until French elections are over +/-max r:r: 1:5

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My map is still the biggest. (MOAM?) Ill just ask you guys to convey all congratulations by pm so we dont clog the thread here. Thanks in advance.

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