- Search Metals Mine
- deathbait replied Feb 1, 2009
look inside bar is not a magical function. It only works if tradestation actually has the data stored to make that fucntion work. Tradestations doesn't have such data pre-2003, so really, using look inside bar on time series before 2003 is a basic ...
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- deathbait replied Jan 25, 2009
there are tons of "standard" ways that are simply ways of saying "it's not my fault if the shit hits the fan".(VAR comes to mind) I'm just saying, if your win/loss % is decent enough, drawdowns don't matter, because there's no way you can prevent ...
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- deathbait replied Jan 25, 2009
err I'm quite aware that a drawdown by defination is a cluster of bad trades. The point is, if any method is able to remove these clusters, it implicitly means they can anticipate bad trades, in which case...they should be taking the opposite ...
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- deathbait replied Jan 25, 2009
I should add in here that when deciding a strategy to use, the drawdowns aren't the ones you should be looking at. If we take the position that you have a certain edge with a system and winning/losing is a probability based on that edge, drawdown ...
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- deathbait replied Jan 23, 2009
If I'm not wrong, people using ONS had an extremely ugly day yesterday
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- deathbait replied Jan 21, 2009
onward then! giraia, i'm not sure what you're asking
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- deathbait replied Jan 21, 2009
so we actually going to discuss joel's strategy in a place no one can see, or just hang out? lol
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- deathbait replied Jan 21, 2009
I won't deny that I've been looking for people to discuss about Joel for some time now, and this provided me an outlet for it. But really, this isn't highschool anymore, and I'm not too concerned how many people vouch for me.
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- deathbait replied Jan 21, 2009
I wasn't aware this was how the rules were intepreted. my bad
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- deathbait replied Jan 20, 2009
Have you ever tried joining a similar contest? These things usually reward the WORST money managers. There is no second place, so everyone shoots for the gold. You don't get placed if you do the boring "correct" trading. Your only chance is to ...
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- deathbait replied Jan 20, 2009
I'm pretty sure you've been reading the ending without reading the introduction. I haven't read the post in question, but I'm guessing it's a trend following bias variant.
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- deathbait replied Jan 20, 2009
True. I don't think it's the computers doing it though. Just more and more people contributing to the prize pool.
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- deathbait replied Jan 20, 2009
have you added in the commision/spread? gah i'll need to log on at work to get my graphs I'll see if i can post something tommorow By the way, the major beef I have with Joel's methods isn't that they aren't profitable. They are....but only in the ...
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- deathbait replied Jan 20, 2009
I think we're confusing each other with our lingo here. By fixed size, I mean I take a fixed size for every trade(I use 2% of my initial account as that size). By geometric, I mean you update the size every time a trade completes so you always risk ...
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- deathbait replied Jan 20, 2009
you didn't misunderstand me, i made an error. EV just means expected value. What I SHOULD have said was that with constant EV, the kelly formula will return a constant, which would be your equity multiplier(for better or for worse). In this case, ...
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- deathbait replied Jan 20, 2009
He can't be using kelly. Because he (claims to) follow his system perfectly, every one of his trades have a pre-defined EV. The kelly system being fed this EV(which is a constant) will return a constant trading size. Thus, if he's using kelly as his ...
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- deathbait replied Jan 20, 2009
please don't. Just scroll down to the bottom of the page and read the paragraphs in red.
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- deathbait replied Jan 20, 2009
you need to be on his mailing list to get info for his meetups also, i seem to have misquoted his price for his algo url he apparently charged the company 17k, not 10k. Didn't double check before I post. My bad.
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- deathbait replied Jan 20, 2009
He charges $$ for his seminars. Also, you apparently can't replicate his results(this is from his blog) unless you have his money management system(hint, hint). He allegedly sold it to a company for 10k. So yes, he does sell stuff.
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- deathbait replied Jan 20, 2009
I think what tdion means is, we've already proven the long term results from FSP are fudged. They've only been working for a very short time. This does not mean that the strategy works. This means it could very well be luck(it also doesn't mean it ...
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