The post you are mentioning gives hints for EURNZD in this case. The NZDCHF is taken from a different (by related) perspective. After all those 2 pairs are highly correlated. Seems we are ready for takeoff

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I can't believe how the level of discussion in this thread advanced in the last couple of weeks. Amazing! Keep up the great work guys. I see some really interesting ideas that are worth developing out there. I hope I'll be able to go through all of ...

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The idea that I'm trying to convey is that if even with K=0 the probability is so high, so what if what you mentioned is used correctly?

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For those wondering if it pays to be a probability trader: You didn't think I blew my account did you? Sorry to disappoint I made sure to keep a recent opened trade within the screenshot, consider it a free signal. Chose your own TP & ...

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This goes in hand with savor0's calculations. Again, 85% is not 90% or 99%, but it is still something worth betting on, no? My account says yes eventhough I had in my head a number higher than 85% While doing your testing, please include the ...

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Here's something for the average Joe that doesn't have enough statistical/mathematical knowledge. Word of cation: This is for demonstration purposes only, and isn't scientifically proven! + It doesn't express my opinion towards the probability and ...

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Of course they exist, you can even find 4 and 5 TZs in a row for certain H values. I was hoping that you would surprise me with concrete statistics.

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He's implying that it is not rare to have 2 or 3 consecutive TZs. (bad surprise) In my opinion, he is mistaken unless he is able to prove it with facts. I can show you many combinations of pairs/H values/TFs where the frequency of 2 consecutive TZs ...

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Is it possible to share actual numbers and percentages? (for different Hs, pairs, and TFs) Clarification: When we're talking about 2 or 3 TZs for the same price, we're talking about consecutive TZs, so price shouldn't be recurrent at that exact ...

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I understand what's the reason behind the confusion, there are 2 theories being presented and thus the mix-up in terms & numbers. For now let's focus on the idea behind the Daily GU chart that you first quoted. I'll use your terms to try to clarify: ...

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In theory for H=10 on GU Daily Chart the probability of having a TZ is only 9% (so a 91% chance of RZ). The above %'s are from K's Indicator, using a sample of 4,400 bars (i.e for the period ranging from Dec 1997 till today) In order to get the hit ...

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For those that still didn't get it for some reason, here's a live example from today on EURUSD: 1- Whoever thinks H is a secret is delusional and is living in fantasy land. I don't think the value of a correct H could be any clearer. It has been ...

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My next project will be binary options. The ideas presented here should create unimaginable results using binary options. I have started my research, and will be updating here when ready. In the last 2 months I had 446 out of 484 trades in profit ...

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I totally agree! Just my point was to show that there are many chances of failure in this method, so it shouldn't be taken as it is on face value. Everyone should work on improving this to reduce the effect the impact of losing trades and eventually ...

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And I'll finally leave you with this: In the below chart (different dates than the one in the previous post), there are 11 winners & 1 loser. If you can spot the loser, then you graduated with distinction You do realize that getting 22 out of 23 ...

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In the below Daily chart, there are 11 trade opportunities using the concept presented. ALL of them are winners & H is as small as 10. Once you are able to identify all 11, you can consider yourself as a graduate. Edit: In some of the 11 ...

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Before getting too excited, I think it's only fair to show you the other side of the picture. I hope the below example shows you why this is far from being a Holy Grail & that it doesn't work by itself. For those who don't see it clearly, in this ...

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wanna bet that they will be asking the same questions after 2-3 new thread pages?! I give that a 99.9% probability

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For all visual learners out there &/or lazy asses that want their pips served on silver plate, here's what Eurusdd is saying in his last post. Check it out and thank me later ( eventhough I'm pretty sure you won't, you're way to busy figuring out ...

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The 79% figure you have is quite accurate. It's the 79 that is trad-able, not the 97. This is what most folks around here are not getting. 79% probability is pretty good, but not good enough to be real profitable. That's why the trick here is how to ...

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