Shale oil is slow to recover removing on the key caps for oil price growth The data on US crude oil inventories has brought noticeable relief to the market, once again hinting on lack of shale oil output rebound, despite warming weather and ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

Markets are not afraid of US inflation risks Summary: - Markets reaction to US inflation report was rather restrained, which came as a big surprise and has medium-term implications for USD; - The basis of bearish pressure in GBPUSD is largely ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

Strong US CPI May Trigger Treasury Sell-off, Dollar Rise Summary - Long-dated bond yields picked up ahead of US CPI release, increasing odds of USD rebound; - Solid China trade data, in particular growth of imports, underpinned oil prices. Calm in ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

Upbeat soft data in the EU fuels tactical retreat of USD Indices of activity in manufacturing and services sector in the EU indicated a welcomed expansion in March. However, it came with a decent delay due to lockdown extensions. Compared to the ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

Strong March NFP suggests more US data surprises to come The US jobs market data in March were really impressive. Given momentum effect in the labor market and still incomplete recovery in consumer mobility, payrolls growth April may top 1 million. ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

Oil and EURUSD set to rebound next week but it may hide a selling opportunity The news continues to be full of headlines that discourage risk appetite. Among them – a new all-time high in daily Covid-19 cases in Poland and gloomy forecast for the ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

These moves in asset prices should put investors on alert Risk assets were sold off moderately on Tuesday while there was a solid interest in debt assets, which is evident from synchronous fall of yields on sovereign debt of developed countries. ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

Oil, USD and Gold: trading ideas for the week ahead Relief in the equity markets after the Fed meeting was short-lived - yet another spike in Treasury rates knocked down oil, growth stocks. Nasdaq lost 3.02%, the biggest daily drop in several ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

Key takeaways from the Fed meeting for equity markets The Fed meeting was not convincing enough to stop the rise in market rates. The yield on 10-year US Treasuries again renewed its local peak, exceeding 1.7% on Thursday. Acknowledging that GDP and ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

EURUSD: tactical retreat continues on growing EU risks In the past few weeks, risk assets were shaken up by wild moves in interest rate markets. The surge in volatility was caused by the dump of fixed income assets, primarily by the outflow from ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

OPEC turns dovish on 1Q, 2Q oil demand, bond yields are on the rise again. Will stocks’ sell-off continue? Oil prices were under pressure on Friday thanks to stronger USD, rising US oil inventories and negative short-term outlook in the OPEC monthly ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

US 10Yr bond auction could weaken USD support Brisk recovery of risk assets on Tuesday, during which the Nasdaq recaptured almost half of the correction since February, gave way to more measured moves on Wednesday. Modest inflow into longer-maturity ...

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Major global funds could start portfolio rebalancing soon. What does it mean for stocks? China strengthened investors’ conviction in the global recovery with the latest trade data released on Sunday. The volume of exports gained impressive 60% YoY ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

OPEC’s extension of current output curbs is still in cards despite robust demand growth Greenback advance eased on Thursday as bullish momentum developed earlier in the first half of the week failed to find support in key data releases. ADP report ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

Negative correlation of Gold with US real interest rate starts to bite the safe haven European markets rallied alongside US equity index futures as the recent factor of bearish pressure - correction in sovereign debt markets and related volatility ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

US appears to be taking lead in the global recovery, driving capital inflows Oil quotes struggled to retain elevated mood ahead of OPEC+ meeting. Monday rally in equities, led to the surge of US stock indices by 2.3% on average, failed to underpin ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

Powell speech, upcoming stimulus talks in Congress should provide additional support for stocks Orderly sell-off in sovereign debt markets, which flared into massive dump last week, has slowed down on Monday, but is far from over. The 10-year ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

Why stock markets Thursday fall is a good buying opportunity Consolidation of 10-year US bond yields around 1.30% turned out to be a short-lived market state. On Thursday, the yield surged to +1.55% area which brought about a massive knee jerk ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

Where oil could move ahead of the OPEC+ meeting in March? Oil prices continued to rise on Thursday with Brent breaking $67/bbl, returning to the level where it traded in January 2020. Powell's speech this week, in which he said about the need to ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts

Stimulus expectations, jump in US economic momentum put USD under pressure A key theme of trading on Monday has been renewed rise in market risk-free interest rates in the US. The yield on 10-year Treasury bond after short consolidation near 1.30% ...

Daily Market Insights & Charts