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Greener replied Jun 9, 2014I expect a bounce any time soon. Despite bearish sentix indicator, last ECB decision was unanimous so the feel is that nothing else can be done at present time in Eurozone and being the 2 main markets closed I doubt London will take responsibility ...
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 6, 2014The problem with the CFTC report is that between Thursday and Friday market players might have changed their positioning substantially. However, the non comms number is scary because it is just too big to ignore. The lowest I see now is 13433-0 ...
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 6, 2014non comms/ which include investment banks were still massively shorting this pair last Thursday....mmm food for thought
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 6, 2014CFTC says that eur net shorts increased to 33k from previous week 16K
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 6, 2014I have just seen this url . I don't know what time last Thursday this data was recorded...if before or after ECB meeting. However, sellers seem to be still there where we left them. Scary if you have longs.
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 6, 2014We didn't see much retracement in the latest downmove. To have retracement you need good volumes, which I don't see now. US is certainly getting stronger but still needs support. However, it looks like Draghi has more tricks in his hat than what ...
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 6, 2014difficult, Monday is bank holiday in France and Germany...I doubt they would like to play while most of Europe can't...not impossible though
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 6, 2014no volumes, volatility dead...thanks NFP! don't have a clue of what can move this pair
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 5, 2014We went to 13503 from 13994 in one go. It's time for the bulls now until confused bears take courage. I think we will get to 13712 before anything else on the downside.
EURUSD
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Greener commented Jun 5, 2014German banks you mean not Germany
ECB cuts won’t fix economy, but they will anger Germany
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Greener replied Jun 5, 2014Draghi expects his measures to take effects in 3 quarters...he expects also prolonged low inflation. He also said that current low inflation is due to a large extent to a high exchange rate and revised down his forecasts due to prolonged low ...
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 5, 2014you got the problem of jumping into the wrong conclusions easily...I added an extra edited bit to previous comment
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 5, 2014I lost you there. It's very simple. There's no deflation risk because low inflation is due to temporary factors such as high exchange rate. Draghi expects prolonged low inflation but no deflation.
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 5, 2014I thought it was clear. If you revise down EZ forecasts because of low inflation...which is mainly caused by a high exchange rate or so Draghi says...you are expecting 2 things to be persistent in the future: 1) low inflation 2) high exchange rate.
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 5, 2014interestingly Draghi excluded deflation risk. Measures were specifically designed for a prolonged time of low inflation. Based on his downward revision for future low inflation and his remark on the substantial role of high exchange rate on current ...
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 5, 2014it is not a disappointment. There are more constraints in Europe to cut rates this low than in US. Draghi cut them and added other unconventional measures, I am bullish.
EURUSD
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Greener replied Jun 5, 2014lots of cuts...this should be the whatever it takes he meant some time ago...low inflation is fixed in EZ for the time being...not so sure in US
EURUSD