Just reposting this one closer the news as nothing has significantly changed. A few posts above this one @Fool pointed out I may be getting ahead of schedule on some of this. So thats good to take with it. Right here: url ...

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NFP levels on (zoom) midterm chart. This is how I am thinking things will go within reasonable margin of error, from news to week close.

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Thanks for the perpective there Fool. I guess Im recognizing many of the elements that will be in play but not when they will be in play. Much appreciated!

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Aaaah...that kind of confirmation. I thought you meant confirmation confirmation. Like a full on announcement or something. Misunderstood. Im genuinely interested to know why you are sure they wont hike in June when you get a chance though.

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Cant decide whether i like sneaking around better or not. But if im just going to get called out either way its not as fun. And that was a typo. I meant to say hoom needs a drink.

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Jesus. I need a drink. I'll punch in tomorrow before NFP. Have a good night.

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June should hike. (so they say). Not sure what confirmation you mean for March though. Guess theres no reason to wrap up the bullish roll at this point. Gotta go. Good luck to everybody trading NFP tomorrow!

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Alright. Maybe I got it. Short EU 1.0920 Stop 1.0980 TP1 1.0820 TP2 1.0520 This was the trade I took this morning after confirming the break of 1.091x yesterday close. Was it too close to market? That makes sense MT. But ST was my idea on the trade. ...

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That wasnt a bad trade. That was a little binary wager with hoom that I lost. Basically what's first 730 or 1040? This was a bad trade: "Short EU 1.0920 Stop 1.0980 TP1 1.0820 TP2 1.0520 May add if NY takes it higher." Yes everything has changed ...

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French Polls nailed round 1. Theres no electoral college game to blur it like in USA. From 538 (right after Round 1 so 26 point number is obsolete): "Before the U.S. election, Trump trailed Hillary Clinton by only about 2 percentage points in the ...

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CME just got to 74% today. Different stats for different cats. Maybe CME lags. Either way,pricing in for sure. Not sure if it matters after 65%. Are you thinking that when looking at June hike expectations in isolation, NFP will have no effect? Why ...

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averaged up a tad at 949. Thats all the eggs I'll be putting in this basket. London roll at 1.094x. Bulls testing 1.096x atm. Lets see what they got.

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Looks as if I owe you a beer too now. (get in line)

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More strong and inline numbers coming in from Europe this morn. Draghi to speak later on matters insignificant to markets so nothing expected to shake out there. Plenty of healthcare vote opinion buzz in the US to ignore. TA levels in focus here are ...

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Short EU 1.0920 Stop 1.0980 TP1 1.0820 TP2 1.0520 May add if NY takes it higher.

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Right. Didnt just catch the semantics part there. Its the big picture you charted that my misuse of the terms shows i didnt have in mind. Its not relative or contextual (hawk v dove). They are more like coordinates on the chart you put up. Know ...

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Ok. Makes sense. Instead of the term "dove" I should be stating it more like "less hawkish". In the post quoted I meant "dove" to mean less chance of June hike. I saw it as a more relative, contextual term but I can see how actually that ...

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Widen both those stops by 15 points and ill take the other side of your wager. LMT buy 1.0885 TP 1.1035 // SL 1.0835 r:r //1:3 ----------------------------------- LMT Sell 1.0885 TP 1.0735 // SL 1.0935 r:r //1:3

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Im not. Maybe you are looking at the chart I posted there on expectations. I was just thinking to keep adding to that at important times to track it since its relevant from here til then.

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Are you still short from the last swing high? I remember you got a near perfect entry there but dont remember where you got out. Did you take it with sisse around 1.068x or thereabouts? That was a good trade.

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