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Tom81 replied Mar 15, 2017If you want to be a professional trader, you have to act like one url
Most traders fail because of no discipline!
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Tom81 replied Mar 15, 2017They don't care how much accounts you have, they care about their exposure. If they don't hedge your relatively big positions they are highly exposed (they should hedge, but sometimes they obviously don't). If something like CHF, GBP event happens ...
Is 3%-5% gain good for a track record of 2yrs?
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Tom81 replied Mar 15, 2017Chance of hitting 10 uninterrupted back to back losses in a row over 100 taken trades for my system is not marginal 15.7%, so I have to adjust size of my positions accordingly. When trading clients money I risk only max 0,5 % capital per position, ...
Is 3%-5% gain good for a track record of 2yrs?
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Tom81 replied Mar 14, 2017My aggressive MM trading account is showing that 5 % monthly can be done easily. But I wouldn't trade this way with investor's money involved. 13,9 % drawdown is too high for most people to handle. I try to be conservative and stay under 5 % ...
Is 3%-5% gain good for a track record of 2yrs?
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Tom81 replied Mar 14, 2017Monthly gain of 3-5% is very good! We are talking in rang of the best forex traders. But realistic goal with small account if you know how to trade. Things get complicated when you hit 200K mark. Your leverage gets reduced. No bucket shop is willing ...
Is 3%-5% gain good for a track record of 2yrs?
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Tom81 replied Mar 13, 2017You don't need big account to trade forex. 70K should be enough if you know how to trade. 20K for living, 50K for trading to build yourself bigger equity over time. When you get over 200K account your progress will slowdown, because it becomes more ...
I plan to quit forex!
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Tom81 replied Mar 13, 2017I'm not a coder, but maybe you could use Asymmetric Fractals indicator to identify higher lows/lower highs (I find 5 FramesBefore/candlesticks 9 FramesAfter setting to work best) and automate your trailing stop according to it. You can use it on 1m ...
Effective Trailing Stop Method?
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Tom81 replied Mar 13, 2017I basically use manual trailing stops following higher lows/lower highs and support/resistance areas as possible partial targets as described in article bellow. I'm a swing trader so it works very well for my trading style. I lose more often then ...
Effective Trailing Stop Method?
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Tom81 replied Mar 10, 2017My advice... Take a deep breath and for god sake don't short it! Wait for a doji, shooting star or dark cloud cover at least (on 1H or even better 4H chart), before even thinking of shorting it. Yes, it can turn at 1.0680, but it may also reach ...
EURUSD
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Tom81 replied Mar 10, 2017I agree 100 %. If you see such a strong move, it is best to wait for a pullback to previous resistance turning support and then ride next wave if you are a trend trader, or at least wait for same divergence between PA and RSI (MACD etc.) at ...
EURUSD
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Tom81 replied Mar 10, 2017Bloomberg: ECB Said to Have Discussed Whether Rates Can Rise Before QE Ends ...Adding fuel to the fire

EURUSD
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Tom81 replied Mar 10, 2017You should be bored not sweaty when trading
If you trade 0,5 - 1 % per position, you have no reason to sweat, when price hits your SL.EURUSD
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Tom81 replied Mar 10, 2017Then don't. It's a fair chance we will see price rise to 1.0800 area as it looks like we have confirmed price bottom, arguably Kilroy pattern (inverted H&S), BUT we might still stay in 1.0500 - 1.0650 range ahead of rate hike. I wouldn't go long ...
EURUSD
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Tom81 replied Mar 10, 2017I'm just saying this was logical reaction of the market to AHE and NFP results, not some manipulation by investment banks and hedge funds to fill their orders with retail traders stops.
EURUSD
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Tom81 replied Mar 10, 2017It has nothing to do with big boys. NFP results are solid not exceptional. Average Hourly Earnings have risen less than predicted, so inflation expectations are at bay. Given that markets have already 100 % incalculated march FED rate hike in price ...
EURUSD
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Tom81 commented Mar 9, 2017If you've missed entry around 1.0550 I'd wait to see if price can brake above 1.0620 - 1.0640 area (neckline of inverted H&S pattern) and enter upon the retest. Risk Reward ratio in not good at 1.0580 as you could see sharp reversal at mentioned ...
ECB Press Conference - 9 March 2017
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Tom81 commented Mar 9, 2017When playing central bank rate decisions news, you have to know if markets have already calculated rate hike/cut in price of the currency prior announcement or not. These market polls are public so anyone can see them. It's still tricky, nothing is ...
ECB Press Conference - 9 March 2017
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Tom81 commented Mar 9, 2017Where the hell do you hear dovishness? He decreased stimulus by 20 billions, is optimistic and don't forget that market agreement on march fed rate hike is at 100 % now, so it is already incalculated in usd price. Eur is going up to 1.0625 at least ...
ECB Press Conference - 9 March 2017
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Tom81 replied Mar 8, 2017Technical analysis = crowd psychology translated into price patterns. Humans tend to react similar in similar situations over and over again. If you learn how to exploit these human reactions, you have a long term edge over the crowd.
There is no such thing as technical analysis