Euro steadies after German coalition partners reach a deal. image Euro dropped into the red box at the close yesterday - a divergence which will offer a good boundary line for today's move. image

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

slow Monday hours, low volume. volatility is gone. done for today.

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

out of the red box. image preferred range trading. image

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

70% chance that Euro will not lay in the red box at the close of the day. a potential good volatility. image

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

7/2/2018 session 4: set up a Short accumulation with Long hedge. expecting a range trading in the next 3-4 hours.

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

mixed data stop the drop of Euro. image upcoming US ISM Manufacturing PMI has nothing to do with Euro, statistically. image

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

the potential full scale of trade war is already reflected in CFTC report. two notable charts: net speculation position on Gold downing towards bearish since 2015. image bullish cycle for Euro is likely over - politics uncertainty and conservative ...

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

prepare for next week! image

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

now its like this. image done for today, this week was behind the target, as there were Monday and Wednesday in the big loss. In sum, Jun was a tough month, black swans every week, big drop once per two-year, new low, new low, and new low, big up, ...

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

the situation is like chess. 29% probability to fall into the grey box means 71% chance to go up, or go down below 1.1548 (thats too far away). so roughly it has 71% to go up, a very decent odds. image

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

things happened too fast, all deals are stacked together in 15 mins. short hedge is necessary in volatile market, to lock some profit first. image

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

Long accumulation and short hedge are all set. hopefully a good range trading zone in U.K. morning session.

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

statistically, 29% chance to fall into the grey box today. the long at the moment sits on a solid basis. image image

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

6/29/2018 session3: focus on Euro. new bad news, retreat for 38% at the moment. time to long. image

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

6/28/2018 recap of Euro news: timeline of how to reach a deal. patience can bring more. Source of news: FT.com, Reuters News 1) before the summit: Merkel really have to make the deal. image 2) 1420 est: Italy blocked the deal, however all members ...

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

finally reached a deal on migration on 2235 est. a little bit late. however my 1 lot is gaining from the news.

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

There is a delay on the press conference, will be held on 1455 est, not sure if there is any solution for the immigration issue. by the way someone just dumped 5000 lots Aug gold in 2mins. cleared my position, left 1 lot. in case of uncertainty. ...

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

6/28/2018 session5: Euro stabilized, long again. first trade today. divergence may happen today, as the price is not likely to rise 70pips in the next 4 hours. EU council press conference will be held at 1400 est.

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

U.S. GDP data at 0830 est has little to do on Euro, historically. image

Swing Trading on Gold and FX

no plan today as it took new low, and, ugly chart. image

Swing Trading on Gold and FX