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FX-Jay replied Apr 20, 2015Hey Plukin, Concerning the EU, I wasn't sure if I should list it with the other positions or not, since unlike all the others, the EU trade doesn't have an exact timing factor or even an approximate SL, it's just that probabilities are more aligned ...
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 17, 2015Follow-Up Setup is still valid The entry wasn't good at all. I've went back to see what may have went wrong & I beleive I may have the answer. I'm doing the analysis of similar older setups & if what I have in mind is correct then that's actualy the ...
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 16, 2015Done
Smashed right into target, booked a nice 180 pips on this one, and again it didn't take 3 weeks, a couple of days and we were done EURAUD kept the record clean 60/60Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 16, 2015Hey Dildubai, 1st entry on AU was at 0.7624, so yes, that's more than 120 pips drawdown (reached 160 pips DD @ 1 point). But still nothing to worry about, next entry is going to be Monday I'll post a separate post as a follow up to the AU trade The ...
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 15, 20151st short entry was initiated today Let's see if the entry on Monday will be as good. Just a reminder, if the target is hit before Monday London open, then there is no point to have a new position on Monday
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 15, 2015That was fast
Glad it gave me an opportunity to short at the US open before this whole drop. I was hoping to be able to add more shorts, but it dropped way too fast Now that target is reached, I'm neutral on USDCAD until a new high probability ...Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 15, 2015Some good news for USDCAD bears Probabilities are stacked up for a nice drop before next Tuesday. Personally I will be entering a short from today during the US session. The aim is a new low below 1.2390. However, I would advise taking profits ...
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 15, 2015Yep, H4 Despite getting a rating of 100 on TZ, I give this trade a probability of 90% The best part though is that even if it doesn't reach target, it is highly improbable that it will fly far away in the opposite direction without coming back. ...
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 15, 2015That's some interesting stuff you got there, to be honest I'm not very well informed about the Lunar Phase Cycle nor the Bradley Barometer My approach seems to be somehow different & focuses more on exact/specific timing rather than cycles * No ...
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 15, 2015I totally agree. What I can confirm are repetitive patterns at lease since 2008. That's as far as I am going with my data analysis
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 14, 2015Hey mate, For the setups based purely on time, I will have to wait and see where price will be at the moment of entry in order to place SL accordingly It also goes without saying that the MM rules will also have a weight in choosing the correct SL ...
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 14, 2015Concerning this setup, I would like to mention that during the last 7 years (from Jan 2008) there have been 59 similar setups to the one I currently have on EURAUD All of them were successful and reached target. Past performance doesn't guarantee ...
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 14, 2015In addition to my bearish outlook for AU as discussed here , I have an extremely high probability for EURAUD to make a new low below 1.3785 sometime during the coming 3 weeks. So we have a high probability for AUD weakness, and an extremely high ...
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 14, 2015You may have realized that using the time factor has a very important role in my analysis I believe that in order to be successful you need to combine both the price & time into your decision. PA by itself isn't enough. I will take the time factor ...
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 13, 2015Target Hit! That was pretty fast. Now I'm back to being neutral on USDJPY.
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 13, 2015We got a nice retrace + Monday came & the target haven't been reached yet. So as mentioned before, today should be a very good day for entry. In my opinion the closure of the opening gap was the best place to get in, if you weren't still awake ...
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 13, 2015I should be the one thanking you for all the hard work & dedication you've put into this project. I'm not going to turn this into a praising contest
you already know my opinion about you, and why I chose you to be one of the few to collaborate ...Statistical Analysis of TZs
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FX-Jay replied Apr 10, 2015After reaching the 94.9 target there was no new high probability signal for me to follow so I'm completely on the sideline when it comes to UCH However given the fact that I see coming weakness on EURUSD and strength on USDJPY, then if I had to ...
Jay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 10, 2015yeah that was pretty fast
Target was reached in less than 3 hoursJay's High Probability Setups
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FX-Jay replied Apr 10, 2015Here's one high probability trade + the best way to trade it: USDJPY will almost certainly reach the 120.73 high. I wouldn't recommend buying at these prices since we are only 25 pips away from the target. An additional 50 pip retrace would be ...
Jay's High Probability Setups