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    • BurgerKing replied Oct 3, 2006

      Trade Balance is not "straddle friendly". I'd suggest dont straddle this. If you must, keep the distance and TP very close to get in and out in an instant! Looking at history, I personally dont see anything AUD Positive coming out of Trade Balance. ...

      Aud -Red Alert
    • BurgerKing replied Oct 3, 2006

      it was rumored that several Mid-East sellers sold converted their GOLD into EUR thus the drop in gold price and buying of euro just when eur droped to 1.2720s... gold is now at 570s. looks like a nice bargain price

      Gold Discussion
    • BurgerKing replied Oct 3, 2006

      I got the 120K from Dailyfx; FF has it listed at 125K and IFR has it at 105K... I personally prefer a larger "gap" even on this "estimate vs previous" number to get higher volatility. Lets watch ADP tommorrow 8:15 and draw some conclusion afterwards.

      NFP 10/6
    • BurgerKing replied Oct 2, 2006

      Oct 6, 2006 Previous: 128K (revised to 188k) Estimate: 120K Actual: 50K How to trade NFP. Straddle: 10~15 pips away with 25~35 pips TP and 10 pip stop (increase SL if your broker widens spreads). Do not cancel the other order in case of whipsaw. If ...

      Historic Charts: US NFP
    • BurgerKing replied Oct 2, 2006

      Aug 4, 2004 Previous: 121K Consensus: 143K Actual: 113K Interpretation: Actual is lower than Estimate: USD- Actual is lower than Previous: USD- Conclusion: Strong USD Short, no whipsaw (the tail seen is actually before the news was released)

      Historic Charts: US NFP
    • BurgerKing replied Oct 2, 2006

      Jul 7, 2006 Previous: 75K Consensus: 175K Actual: 121K Interpretation: Actual is lower than Estimate: USD- Actual is higher than Previous: USD+ Conclusion: expect whipsaw, trend will move in the direction of Actual vs Previous. Anecdote: 2 days ...

      Historic Charts: US NFP
    • BurgerKing replied Oct 2, 2006

      Apr 7, 2006 Previous: 243K Consensus: 185K Actual: 211K Interpretation: Actual is higher than Estimate: USD+ Actual is lower than Previous: USD- Conclusion: expect whipsaw, but trend will move in the direction of Actual vs Previous

      Historic Charts: US NFP
    • BurgerKing replied Oct 2, 2006

      Feb 3, 2006 Previous: 108K Consensus: 275K Actual: 193K Interpretation: Actual is lower than Estimate: USD- Actual is higher than Previous: USD+ Conclusion: expect whipsaw but eventually EURUSD, GBPUSD will move in the direction of Actual vs Previous

      Historic Charts: US NFP
    • BurgerKing replied Oct 2, 2006

      Hmm.. You are correct... if there is a rate hike, it should favor long AUDUSD.. If I understood that part, I would have more conviction to go long earlier after the downspike. (The result came out between expectation and previous result = whipsaw or ...

      AUD - Manufacturing PMI
    • BurgerKing replied Oct 2, 2006

      There are two AUD news: PMI and Retail Sales. Retail Sales is not so volatile but fairly tradeable with small targets.. no idea on PMI though. . . . PMI looking like a dud... lets wait out for longer and see if its a late kicker . . . PMI is a dud.. ...

      AUD - Manufacturing PMI