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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 9, 2016He thought every country like Japan fully depend on export. Until today, I still believe they will hike in September or even another on December if not, March. FED data dependent, yes but definitely not depend on 1 month data. Single month moderate ...
Fed Gov Tarullo: I want to see more evidence of inflation before rate hike
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 9, 2016Already waiting for more than 2 weeks and finally creating some issue to push it down. Treasury crazy low, bond extremely low, equities frenzy overbought, VIX at low, VSTOXX at history low, all of those abnormal figures finally trying to get back on ...
Bonds, Stocks Tumble With Emerging Markets as Complacency Broken
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 8, 2016Don't think so with strong EUR. It just move in advance yesterday already signs of equities sell off soon. OIL can keep on eye for higher if dollar continuing dipping. It doesn't move much because of inventory in about 100 minutes.
ECB Monetary policy decisions
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 8, 2016Too dare devil to short now unless for some couple pips, mate. 20 minutes to US open. Might be even more buying power coming in.
ECB Monetary policy decisions
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 8, 2016Finally, fragile crazily overbought equities frenzies have a good reason to suck all those money.
ECB Monetary policy decisions
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 8, 2016Oh boy, send me all your money and don't send it to market. No reason to short EUR now with Draghi's answer.
ECB Monetary policy decisions
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 8, 2016I agree on this if you does not have holding power or trading with leverages. All of sudden came in another good figures unemployment from US to counter ECB policies. So it might be very choppy now.
ECB Monetary policy decisions
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 8, 2016Media always talk talk talk for instance on Brexit. Media always said data is not that bad post-Brexit. Of course you can't see any effect now because it is just a vote, not already happening.
ECB Monetary policy decisions
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 8, 2016"Monthly asset purchases of €80 billion are intended to run until the end of March 2017, or beyond, if needed". If needed is the confusing area. But at least in this meeting, it is still a steady policy and hawkish tend to boost EUR with weaken ...
ECB Monetary policy decisions
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 8, 2016Expected do nothing to push EUR higher. It is crucial later on conference regarding how Draghi's answering further ease on December. If supported by the recent August PMIs and given answer they will not ease at all, we will see flying EUR.
ECB Monetary policy decisions
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 8, 2016See, here comes the outcome. Do nothing enough to push EUR higher.
ECB Caught Between a Rock and a Hard Place
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 8, 2016Not sure what the decision will be. It is less likely they will lower interest rates and QE extend might happen, but more likely in December. The argument is August PMIs show nice figures. Draghi highly likely another wait and see.
ECB Caught Between a Rock and a Hard Place
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 8, 2016You sold EUR so you said whatever they do, EU will go down? It doesn't make sense at all. EU only have 2 reasons to go down on today Super Mario answer. The argument which confusing investor now are whether they are going to extend QE program longer ...
ECB Caught Between a Rock and a Hard Place
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 7, 2016Nice. Unless FED data dependent based on a month rather than average momentum, otherwise no reason to believe a small rate hike in September hope faded.
Fed's Lacker: Case For Rate Increase Strong In September -- RTRS
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 7, 2016Fed's George did mentioned US near full employment. Fed's Lacker did mentioned just now strong cases for rate hike September. So it is not faded yet.
Goldman Cuts September Rate Hike Odds To 40%, Just Days After Raising Them To 55%
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 7, 2016In fact, I still think rates hike might going to happen this month especially strange actions on equities market, dollar index and gold. Keep pushing dollar lower with recent data release to give some room for up moves maybe. Of course maybe I'm ...
Goldman Cuts September Rate Hike Odds To 40%, Just Days After Raising Them To 55%
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 7, 2016Not much in his note. Beige Book another release to see whether any clues.
Goldman Cuts September Rate Hike Odds To 40%, Just Days After Raising Them To 55%
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 7, 2016Find some clue on George speaks. At least he is a voting member and might get some surprise in a minute.
Goldman Cuts September Rate Hike Odds To 40%, Just Days After Raising Them To 55%
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 6, 2016You can't compare August figures with July figures due to holiday season. Secondly, ISM figures above 50 is still an acceptable figures which represent economic expansion. Lastly, FED hiking rates is not weight on a month economy figures basis.
August 2016 Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business
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ChinaTraderz commented Sep 6, 2016So why do you bother to spread around with your negativity mindset because of your failure for everyone who still try to succeed? If you don't trade, then just get the f out of trading community instead of spreading your own failure viruses around. ...
August 2016 Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business